Yet more statistical dreck from AfricaCheck

Why are white women so much more likely to be murdered by ‘others’?

There is an Afrikaans word for faeces that is used rather less often than its more vulgar “kak“ equivalent: “drek.” I was extremely amused to read a piece issued by AfricaCheck, which is where my “drek” word comes in, because, you see, AfricaCheck should rather be called AfricaDrek, due to all the faeces emanating from the likes of the author of the piece in question, Ms Lisa Vetten. AfricaDrek is rather like the newspaper, Pravda (“Truth”), in the old Soviet Union; an organization, its name notwithstanding, not interested in publishing the truth at all, but rather dedicated to lies, obfuscation, and yes,  pure, unadulterated bullshit or drek. (These days, of course, Pravda is a lot more readable in post-Soviet times.)

manfredNo piece I’ve read in 2014 has been more worthy of being described as drek than this masterpiece of desperate, attempted obfuscation by Ms Vetten. Congratulations, Ms Vetten! You can come and collect your plastic toilet seat award from me, for the most smelly turd of 2014.

Firstly, Ms Vetten describes herself as a researcher in the blurb below the article, and therefore presumably fancies herself to be some kind of academic, one given to objective analysis and the pursuit of the facts. Certainly most people would not think of an academic as one who would descend to name-calling and labelling. Yet name-calling is exactly what she cannot resist doing, describing her opponents variously as “prejudiced”, “amateur” and the “white right”.

Yes, of course. The usual suspects. Puke Watson would be proud of Ms Vetten’s stereotypes – thick-as-bricks Afrikaners, who wear khaki and down Klippies and Coke. Dumb Dutchmen.

Not quite the type of thing my professors would have approved of in a research paper, but nonetheless, at AfricaDrek, it seems to be acceptable to pretend to be an academic, but descend to name-calling when you know you’ve lost the argument, which is all the time. I was therefore tempted to use similar terms in the title to my piece, say “Feminazi causes a late-term statistical abortion”, but then I’m an amateur and not an AfricaDrek academic.

But let me, the mere dumb Dutchman, and yes, an amateur white right-winger, flush Ms Vetten’s drek down the toilet, as it were.

Firstly, uniquely among all races, the study quoted in Ms Vetten’s piece above says that many more white women are killed by others, i.e. not by their intimate partners. In fact, uniquely among races, white women were killed during the study period at a rate more than twice that of being killed by their intimate partners! Ms Vetten quotes in her column that 2.8 per 100 000 white women were killed by their intimate partners in the MRC study of 1999, but that a whopping 5.8 per 100 000 of white women were killed by “others”.  So a white woman had a 32% chance of being killed by her partner, as opposed to a 68% chance of another person killing her – of being murdered by “others”.

However, this paper, also by the MRC, states that anywhere from 50% to 56% of all female homicides in South Africa generally are perpetrated by their intimate partners. Oops, now this presents somewhat of a dilemma to Ms Vetten.  Why were “only” 32% of white homicide victims, as opposed to between 50% and 56% of the overall SA population, murdered by intimate partners? Why are white women so much more likely to be murdered by others?

Are white uncles, friends, cousins, parents and so on, really, seriously that much more violent than the “others” of other races, by a factor of between 30% and 40%? (68% divided by 50%.) No doubt Ms Vetten would agree with the above, and might even confidently state that indeed we whites are indeed 40% more violent towards our women. Perhaps she would hasten to add that white right-wingers are especially guilty of “other” feminine homicide.

What she doesn’t say is, however, more important than what she does write in her piece. Ms Vetten doesn’t even attempt to explain the above huge discrepancy. She wouldn’t dare to, because even an amateur like myself would understand that this would overwhelmingly support the contention that whites are being murdered more by “others”, than blacks, Indians and coloureds are. Who are these others?

Lisa Vetten doesn’t know. She has not the foggiest notion who they might be. As she herself writes:

But of course, given that we do not have racial breakdowns of perpetrators per category of women, it also possible that some white men may have killed some African women, that a few African men may have killed a small number of Indian women and that some coloured men killed white women.

Each of these permutations is possible when we are dealing only with percentages overall.

Exactly, Ms Vetten. As you yourself say, even the so-called amateur white right may be dead right, when they say that most white women are killed by black others. Again in your own words, “each of these permutations is possible”. You simply don’t know who kills white women, but if you consider how comparatively many white women are killed by others, and considering news reports and anecdotal evidence, all thinking people at least have their suspicions that it is NOT white grannies above 75 who are killing other white women.

And then, of course Ms Vetten, after having failed to explain why others kill white women at a far higher rate than what is true for other races, and having  admitted to her total ignorance in the quotation above, she falls back on the tired old brain-dead excuse, which I will paraphrase as follows: “Everybody suffers from crime. White women aren’t special.” (Which makes white homicide and hate crimes committed by other races against whites OK, then?)

Another giant turd from AfricaDrek, indeed.

S. African crime stats present a bleak picture

crime3A bleak picture emerged on Thursday from the latest figures on serious crime such as murder, burglary, aggravated robbery, and hijackings. In absolute terms, the number of murders have risen by 4%.

One expert described the 2012/13 crime statistics, released by Police Minister Nathi Mthethwa in Pretoria, as “the worst figures seen in 10 years”.

Mthethwa said the number of murders increased by 0.6 percent in the past financial year. However, it was down 16.6 percent over the past four years, and 27.2 percent over the past nine years.

There was also a 6.5 percent increase in attempted murder in the year under review. This was in contrast to the 16.8 percent decline over the past four years and the 51.7 percent decline over the past nine years.

The number of aggravated robberies increased by 1.2 percent over the past financial year, Mthethwa said.

However, there were still 29.7 percent fewer of these crimes than nine years ago and 18.7 percent less than four years ago.

Residential burglaries increased by 3.3 percent in the past financial year, and non-residential burglaries by 1.7 percent over the same period.

In the 2012/13 financial year:

— theft out of motor vehicles increased by 3.6 percent;

— commercial crimes increased by 0.6 percent;

— car hijacking increased by 5.4 percent;

— robbery at residential premises increased by 3.6 percent;

— truck hijacking increased by 14.9 percent;

— drug-related crime increased by 13.5 percent; and

— cases of drunk driving, or driving under the influence of drugs, increased by 1.5 percent.

Raw figures showed that the number of aggravated robberies increased from 101,203 in 2011/12 to 105,888 in the past financial year.

Following Mthethwa’s announcement, the Institute for Security Studies (ISS) said the increase in violent crime showed government’s approach to crime was not working.

“After a long period of decreases in serious and violent crime, these are the worst figures we have seen in 10 years,” ISS analyst Gareth Newham said.

“Violence remains unacceptably high and should be treated as a serious crisis which stands in the way of South Africa’s social and economic development.”

Newham said the ISS was concerned by the murder rate, since it declined over the last decade, only to rise again in the last financial year.

“It has grown by 650 cases. This is almost two additional murders per day on average. We need more data on why it has gone up,” he said in a telephonic conference.

He said most car and truck hijackings were linked to crime syndicates.

“This increase suggests weakness in crime intelligence.”

Newham said the increase in aggravated robbery indicated that police were not in control of the situation.

However, national police commissioner Riah Phiyega said crime in South Africa was under control.

“The story of [the SA Police Service] SAPS is a story of assurance and confidence. When I look at the crime situation over a period of nine years, you all see that there is a general decline,” she said.

“We expect this declining trend to continue in the majority of our serious crimes categories. There is no doubt in my mind that the crime situation is under control.”

Presenting the crime statistics, Mthethwa said shoplifting decreased by 3.9 percent over the same period.

There were also decreases in robberies at non-residential premises, by 0.6 percent, in cash-in-transit robberies, by 20.3 percent, and bank robberies, by 80 percent. – Sapa

South Africa’s robberies on the increase

Armed_RobberyThe number of aggravated robberies increased by 1.2 percent over the past financial year, Police Minister Nathi Mthethwa said on Thursday.

However, there were still 29.7 percent fewer of these crimes than nine years ago and 18.7 percent less than four years ago, Mthethwa said at the release of the 2012/13 crime statistics in Pretoria.

Residential burglaries increased by 3.3 percent in the past financial year, and non-residential burglaries by 1.7 percent.

He said common robbery decreased by 2.2 percent over the reporting period.

“The role of the community in supplying the necessary information and the patrols of the streets has drastically reduced possibilities of this crime,” he said.

“This is corroborated by swift arrests that have been affected.”

Mthethwa said shoplifting had decreased by 3.9 percent over the same period.

There were also decreases in robberies at non-residential premises, by 0.6 percent, in cash-in-transit robberies, by 20.3 percent, and bank robberies, by 80 percent.

In the 2012/2013 financial year:

— theft out of motor vehicles increased by 3.6 percent;

— commercial crimes increased by 0.6 percent;

— car hijacking increased by 5.4 percent;

— robbery at residential premises increased by 3.6 percent;

— truck hijacking increased by 14.9 percent;

— drug-related crime increased by 13.5 percent; and

— cases of drunk driving, or driving under the influence of drugs, increased by 1.5 percent.

Mthethwa said there was an 18 percent decrease in ATM bombings, from 261 cases in 2011/12 to 214 in 2012/13.

Arson decreased by 8.7 percent over the reporting period.

“Advancement in technology on individual dwellings, the improvement of the infrastructure to reduce informal housing, as well as electricity roll-outs have also assisted in reducing this crime,” Mthethwa said.

There was a 4.1 percent decrease in malicious damage to property and a 4.4 percent decrease in the theft of motor vehicles and motorcycles. – Sapa

‘Most feared crime increases’

robber“Robberies at residential homes, as the crime most feared by South Africans, increased by 3,6% according to the latest crime statistics. Burglaries at residential homes increased by 3,3% (253 633 incidents) and car hijackings by 5,4%. It is precisely at one’s home and on the way to work where people want to feel safe. The public therefore has reason to feel unsafe and is experiencing crime to be increasing,” Dr. Pieter Groenewald, the Freedom Front Plus’ chief spokesperson on Police said.

“What is also worrying is that of the 1 833 775 serious crimes which had been reported, there had only been 352 513 successful prosecutions. It is only a 19% successful prosecution rate. This means that the criminal justice system in South Africa has serious defects and is failing the public,” Groenewald said.

“Murder has increased by 0,6% but the fact that 16 259 people are murdered, means that there is a five times more likely chance for a person to be murdered in South Africa than anywhere else in the world where the average is 6 for every 100 000 people. Attempted murder has increased by 6,5% (16 363) which means that South Africa still remains a dangerous country,” Groenewald says.

The Freedom Front Plus welcomes the decline in crime against women and children and in crimes such as assault.

South Africa’s murder rate increases

knife_murderThe number of murders in South Africa increased by 0.6 percent over the past financial year, Police Minister Nathi Mthethwa said on Thursday.

Speaking at the release of the 2012/13 crime statistics in Pretoria, he said the murder rate had previously decreased by 16.6 percent over the past four years, and by 27.2 percent over the past nine years.

“Since 1994, we have been making steady progress in the fight against crime.

“We will work double hard to ensure this slight increase is re-routed to the downward trends that we experienced over the past nine years,” he said.

There was also a 6.5 percent increase in attempted murder in the financial year under review.

This was in contrast to the decrease in attempted murder by 16.8 percent over the past four years and 51.7 percent over the past nine years.

Mthethwa highlighted the causes for the increases by province.

These included cases of domestic violence and alcohol-related arguments near taverns in the Eastern Cape and labour unrest in the mining sector in the North West. – Sapa

South Africa’s crime stats ‘worst in ten years’

crime-gunResponding to the release today (19 September 2013) of the SA Police Service crime statistics for 2012/13, Institute for Security Studies’ analyst Gareth Newham said the following:

  • “Serious and violent crime is increasing in South Africa. This shows that government’s approach to crime is not working.”
  • “After a long period of decreases in serious and violent crime, these are the worst figures we have seen in ten years.”
  • “Reducing crime is not only a police responsibility. There is also an important role for other government departments such as health, education and social development.”
  •  “Violence remains unacceptably high and should be treated as a serious crisis which stands in the way of South Africa’s social and economic development.”
  • “We have seen increases in murder, attempted murder, car hijacking, street robbery and house robbery. These are some of the crimes South Africans are most afraid of.”
  • We understand that the police work under very difficult circumstances, and we applaud the many officers who work tirelessly to combat crime and to protect people and communities in South Africa.”

Gareth Newham is director of the Governance, Crime and Justice programme at the Institute for Security Studies.