Could Romney’s older, white voters withstand Obama’s rising tide of black and Hispanic youths?

Typical Obama voters? Young and not so white?

By MICHAEL ORESKES
Associated Press

TAMPA, Fla. (AP) — One way to think about this year’s election is as a contest between the impact of a sour economy (advantage Romney) and the power of the nation’s shifting demographics (advantage Obama).

Put simply, the groups that support President Barack Obama most strongly – blacks, Hispanics, young people, unmarried women – have been growing as a share of the electorate. Those who support Mitt Romney the most – white working men and older people – have not.

This demographic tide is so strong that some Democrats came away from their 2008 victory feeling that a political reordering was in the works that could be as important as the New Deal realignment that ushered in a generation of Democratic strength after the Great Depression.

The Great Recession put a deep dent in that hope of theirs, as it soured most other optimism around America.

But now both Republicans and Democrats see that the demographic tide is still running. But it is running into the effects of the bad economy.

As Republicans convened here this week, Jeb Bush, the former Florida governor, issued a warning to his fellow Republicans. Perhaps the economic hard times would get them through this year. But soon they would have to face the longer-term implications of America’s population shifts.

“Our demographics are changing, and we have to change. Not necessarily our core beliefs, but the tone of our message and the message and the intensity of it for sure,” Bush said. “I don’t think that’s going to have an impact in this election though. . But long-term, conservative principles, if they’re to be successful and implemented, there has to be a concerted effort to reach out to a much broader audience than we do today.”

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DEMOCRATS ARE hoping Bush is wrong about the impact this year. In fact, it could be said they are hoping the continuing demographic shifts will salvage Obama from the wreckage of the economy.

Charles Cook, one of the country’s foremost analysts of election trends, says that basic public opinion about the election has been so stable now for so many months “that the makeup of the electorate is one of the few critical questions.”

There are different ways to express the changes that electoral makeup is undergoing.

The percentage of the electorate that is white and not of Hispanic origin has been dropping steadily. It was about 90 percent of the vote in the 1970s. By 2008 it was 74 percent. The white vote has declined an average of 3 points each presidential election since 1992.

Will the trend continue into 2012?

Yes, concludes a study by a liberal think tank that looked at census data in battleground states. The researchers, Ruy Teixeira and John Halpin of the Center for American Progress, combined declines in the white electorate (3 percent) with growth among blacks and Hispanics (2 percent) as well as college-educated whites (1 percent), who are more sympathetic to Democrats than white voters in general. That produced a total swing of 6 percent toward voters more likely to favor Obama.

But demographics are not always destiny. Population trends don’t actually register voters or bring them to the polls. The drubbing Democrats took in 2010 was largely explained by the very low turnout among some of their normally loyalist voters. Young voters who helped elect Obama in 2008 stayed away in droves at the midterm. So did blacks and Hispanics

The same thing could happen this year. “Will Democratic apathy and Republican energy make the electorate much more conservative leaning than its underlying demographics would suggest?” Teixera and Halpin asked.

That question is driving both sides, and the effects can be seen everywhere in the presidential campaign.

Just Wednesday, Obama campaigned among University of Virginia students in Charlottesville, one of four college-town appearances he is making in a week to gin up enthusiasm among young voters.

“Go out there, register,” he implored the students, “Stand up. If you do, we will win Virginia and if we win Virginia we will win this election and we will finish what we started.”

Meantime, Ann Romney went to the Latino Coalition lunch here at the Republican convention, part of a concerted Republican effort to reduce Obama’s margins among Hispanics. “I admire your community so much because I know how much you value family and what sacrifices you make for your families,” she said.

She stressed the Republican theme that Obama was unsympathetic to small business. “The Latino community is the huge engine of small business,” she said, and “they are mistaken if they think they are going to be better off” if Obama is re-elected.

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REVIVING THE economy is an appeal Republicans hope will be heard by all voters, including those who have leaned Democratic. The downturn hit everyone, after all. Pat Mullins, Republican chair in Virginia, said party polling had found that Hispanic voters were less worried about immigration policy than unemployment.

“They’re concerned about the same things we are – that their kids have the advantage to better themselves,” he said. “That’s what they moved here for.”

But around the convention there is a palpable subtext, exemplified by Jeb Bush, that just relying on the economic message was a recipe for trouble, certainly in the long term. “We need to start being certain these various communities have leadership roles,” Mullins said.

The question of roles sparked some blunt exchanges this week.

The chairman of next week’s Democratic National Convention, Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa, took a shot at the Republicans for lining up a string of minority speakers at the opening night of the convention. “You can’t just trot out a brown face or a Spanish surname and expect people are going to vote for your party or your candidate,” Villaraigosa said.

Indeed, the racial fault lines between the parties are creating conversations that are not always pretty.

A search for black faces at the Republican convention has become a kind of game on Twitter under the hashtag “negrospotting.” The pop singer Clay Aiken wrote that he and his brother had been watching and taking a drink each time they spotted a black face and were, as their hashtag put it, “soberasamormon.” This prompted the country star John Rich to tweet that Aiken “should be ashamed for racist comments like that.”

The Republican Party says delegates aren’t asked to identify their race, so they don’t know how many are black. The Joint Center for Political and Economic Studies, which has been counting just that since 1974, says there are 46 black delegates, or about 2 percent.

And when it comes to Hispanics, Romney hurt himself during the primaries, particularly when he refused to support Republican Florida Sen. Marco Rubio’s legislation to address the problem of young illegal aliens who were brought to the United States by their parents and have lived here for years, gone to school and built lives but remain illegal. Obama then outmaneuvered Romney by unilaterally suspending deportations of these residents.

To counter this, Romney took a step that reflects the very notion Jeb Bush raised – to look at the makeup of the electorate, shape the message and change its intensity. For his speech Thursday evening, the newly minted nominee has chosen someone to introduce him who reflects that changing demographic and can, not coincidentally, help to deliver it: Marco Rubio.

How the 1960s’ Riots Hurt African-Americans

Detroit race riot in 1967

South Africa is currently going through a period of intense social unrest, characterised by so-called “service-delivery protests”. It is estimated that last year 5% of the country’s black population participated in some form of protest action or rioting. The long-term effects could be considerable, as may be learned from this American study of the aftermath of black rioting in the USA during the 1960’s.

How the 1960s’ Riots Hurt African-Americans

by David R. Francis, National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Massachusetts

“The riots had economically significant negative effects on blacks’ income and employment. Further, those effects may have been larger in the long run – from 1960 to 1980 – than in the short run – from 1960 to 1970.”

“The riots significantly depressed the median value of black-owned property between 1960 and 1970, with little or no rebound in the 1970s.”

Any American of a certain age remembers the race-related riots that tore through U. S. numerous cities in the 1960s. Between 1964 and 1971, civil disturbances (as many as 700, by one count) resulted in large numbers of injuries, deaths, and arrests, as well as considerable property damage, concentrated in predominantly black areas.

Although the United States has experienced race-related civil disturbances throughout its history, the 1960s events were unprecedented in their frequency and scope. Law enforcement authorities took extraordinary measures to end the riots, sometimes including the mobilization of National Guard units. The most deadly riots were in Detroit (1967), Los Angeles (1965), and Newark (1967). Measuring riot severity by also including arrests, injuries, and arson adds Washington (1968) to that list. Particularly following the death of Martin Luther King in April 1968, the riots signaled the end of the carefully orchestrated, non-violent demonstrations of the early Civil Rights Movement.

Social scientists have studied the causes of the riots for a long time. Now two NBER papers by William Collins and Robert Margo instead examine the economic impact of the riots on African Americans and on the cities where they took place. In the first paper, The Labor Market Effects of the 1960s Riots (NBER Working Paper No. 10243), they find that the riots had economically significant negative effects on blacks’ income and employment. Further, those effects may have been larger in the long run – from 1960 to 1980 – than in the short run – from 1960 to 1970.

Until 1975, the racial gap in average earnings among full-time male workers in the United States narrowed. There were periods of sharp convergence, as in the 1940s, alternating with periods of relative stasis, as in the 1950s and early 1960s. After 1970, racial convergence in earnings slowed markedly, in part because many low-wage black males were no longer engaged in full-time work, the authors note. The proportion of blacks living in high-poverty urban neighborhoods increased as well, and residential segregation led to increasingly poor socioeconomic outcomes among young blacks. In this context, Collins and Margo attempt to detect whether the riots contributed to a downward economic spiral that hurt employment opportunities, incomes, and property values.

Although they characterize their baseline estimates as “tentative,” Collins and Margo find a relative decline in median black family income of approximately 9 percent in cities that experienced severe riots relative to those that did not, controlling for several other relevant city characteristics. There is also some evidence of an adverse effect on adult male employment rates, particularly in the 1970s. Between 1960 and 1980, severe riot cities had relative declines in male employment rates of 4 to 7 percentage points. Individual-level data for the 1970s suggests that this decline was especially large for men under the age of 30.

In the second paper, The Economic Aftermath of the 1960s Riots: Evidence from Property Values (NBER Working Paper No. 10493), Margo and Collins investigate the influence of riots on central city residential property values, especially black-owned properties. They find that the riots significantly depressed the median value of black-owned property between 1960 and 1970, with little or no rebound in the 1970s. The baseline estimates for severe-riot cities relative to small-or-no-riot cities range from approximately 14 to 20 percent for black-owned properties, and from 6 to 10 percent for all central-city residential properties. Household-level data for the 1970s indicate that the racial gap in property values widened substantially in riot-afflicted cities relative to others.

The exact mechanisms through which the riots affected economic activity over a long period of time are difficult to identify, but a large number of potentially reinforcing channels exist. Property risk might seem higher in central city neighborhoods than before the riots, causing insurance premiums to rise; taxes for income redistribution or more police and fire protection might increase, and municipal bonds may be more difficult to place; retail outlets might close; businesses and employment opportunities might relocate; middle and higher income households might move away; burned out buildings might be an eyesore; and so on. These damaging aspects of riots, the authors find, apparently outweighed outside assistance directed toward the riot areas in the wake of the disturbances.

Terror of the gay dwarfish African incubus

by Dan Roodt

To most people outside South Africa in developed countries, our life here must seem bizarre. After all, nowhere in Europe or the United States would you drive your children to school and see that the country’s largest newspaper, the Daily Sun, has got “Terror of the gay Tokoloshe” as its frontpage story for the day.

Probably you do not even know what a Tokoloshe is. Ever since I was a child I was intrigued to see that most black people in South Africa, especially women, place their beds on bricks. Apparently if one’s bed is high enough, the Tokoloshe cannot reach you while you are sleeping. So from my earliest years as I became aware of the peculiar differences between blacks and whites, I was brought under the impression that the Tokoloshe played an important role in the lives of blacks.

More black people in South Africa use so-called “traditional medicine” than the Western kind. The government has even institutionalised witchdoctors which are now called “traditional healers” or simply “healers”. At one point I read somewhere that one might also claim from health insurance for visiting a healer who will give you a concoction called “muti” that might contain all kinds of bizarre ingredients. In the northern parts of the country, there is even traffic in human body parts for making “strong muti”.

Being Africans of a slightly different kind, we Afrikaners jocularly refer to the more regular Eurocentric medicine that we take as “muti” too, especially to children. “Come on, drink your muti,” one would tell one’s son or daughter, referring to cough mixture or a tablet made by some branded pharmaceutical company.

Sometimes we Afrikaners call our children “Tokolos” as a term of endearment. Otherwise, we often joke about the Tokoloshe, saying things like: “The Tokoloshe is going to catch you.” But of course, unlike black Africans, we lack any real belief in his existence. To us he is merely a mythological creature like Zeus or Spiderman.

Wikipedia has a few lines on the Tokoloshe, but it mostly omits his sexual proclivities. From what I remember, the Tokoloshe especially preys on single women as they are more likely to be amenable to his advances, especially in dreams. It is also through one’s dreams that the ancestors communicate to the living. Normally, witchdoctors or sangomas or nyangas as they are also called, are “called” by an ancestor to their profession.

I once heard a story of an African investment banker in Johannesburg being called to become a witchdoctor. He went missing for six weeks and arrived back at the bank with an animal bladder on his head. Afterwards there was some discussion as to whether he could discuss corporate finance with clients while wearing the bladder, which he was not allowed to take off.

The Daily Sun’s story has a charm of its own and is in a way politically correct. No doubt it will speak to people for whom gay rights are a burning issue as even the little African incubus may be gay, it seems. Considering that there is currently a whole hullabaloo in the United States about the Republican senatorial candidate’s petite phrase about “legitimate rape”, “the terror of the gay tokoloshe” brings a whole new dimension to discussions of rape.

According to the Daily Sun’s report, Mr. Isaac Malope (51) has already spent R200 000 (about $25 000) on muti to defend himself against a gay Tokoloshe who comes to rape him every night while he is asleep next to his wife Constance Mazibuko (43).

Isaac Malope told the Daily Sun’s reporter, Alex Nkosi: “Every night he comes between me and my wife and rapes me over and over. When he leaves, I no longer have energy for my wife and even if I try to get an erection, nothing happens.

The only time when I manage to get an erection is if I fast for seven days and ask God for it. But it only lasts for a day and then it is back to hell. I have been to many different sangomas but they have failed to solve the problem.”

Mr. Malope has even travelled from South Africa to Nigeria to consult a well-known prophet there, to no avail.

The couple are now asking the Daily Sun’s readers for help, giving the following number in Pretoria to dial: 012 424 6251.

Plastic Princess: Open Letter to Khanyi Mbau on the Publication of Her Memoirs

By Lin Sampson for the Sunday Times:

Let me be straight: two months ago I had never heard of you. But I like wild girls, girls who wallow in the swill of society, girls who make mistakes and are as headstrong as a South Easter.

Girls who leave bullet-holes of bad behaviour.

Your biography is about to be published. Written by Lesley Mofokeng, it strains to make you sound vulnerable, talented and misunderstood.

Marilyn Monroe?

Lesley Mofokeng deserves the Pulitzer Prize for fiction. He certainly can write and he wove a well wrought web of fantasy, including some hard truths.

We made a date for an interview to publicise your book. It was agreed that the Sunday Times would fly you down to Cape Town for the day. Economy class. You enthused: “We can lunch at Grand Beach.”

After that, everything went into a mush of misunderstanding. You could be called Miss Communication. Phone calls, e-mails, SMSs floated in the ether. I was so dying to meet you.

Now recalling our conversation, I hear the fatal words: economy class.

That splintered your ego, didn’t it Khanyi?

And you dreaming of being Queen of England and all.

“I never stopped believing I was a somebody. I thought I was going to marry into royalty. In my dreams I could see myself being the first black member of the British monarchy. Prince William was going to be mine and we’d give Queen Elizabeth brown great-grandchildren.”

Okay, our interview was never going to be easy. I am an ancient woman who reads books, an apostrophe activist who knows Byron’s “Childe Harold’s Pilgrimage” by heart.

You are a self-styled socialite with a very big mouth and a brain like a blown egg. Despite educational opportunities your peers would have given their eyeteeth for, you had to repeat Grade 7. On your first movie break, in 10 takes, you could not memorise the words, “It’s right”.

You are a girl who knows nothing of the beauty of a rhyming couplet, or the dream of a perfect equation; the excitement of investigating the F minor key or reading The Great Gatsby for the first time.

A girl whose hero is a man called Jimmy Choo, a name that doesn’t resonate with struggle cognoscenti.

Mofokeng talks about your “work ethic”. “They [black women her age],” he writes, “respect her willpower and her success.”

Pardon?

You lost your job in Muvhango by taking off on a trip to the Middle East in the middle of filming.

You had a child whom your mother looks after. You married an old, rich man and fed the tabloids with your public fights. Your nude photographs were put on the web in a mean gesture by a married man you had a very public and sordid affair with. You had physical fights in public in which you lost your wig.

Actually Khanyi, I love rich and grand people who have their newspapers ironed, wash their sheets in Jo Malone and run a string of polo ponies.

But the trouble with you, Khanyi, is that you never really knew what really rich and really grand was because you lived in the world of second-hand Hollywood soaps. You thought a Lamborghini was über-chic when everyone knows that only drug dealers and tenderpreneurs with a police record would be seen in one.

You married a man who thought it was stylish to have a Versace belt in different colours to match his leather jackets and rubbed snail mucus at R600 a tub onto his face. Did you really think this was smart? How did you get it so wrong? Your bags are too glittery, your shoes too high, your fights too porny. Your utterances too inane.

You thought the apogee of good food was a food-chain takeout when the rest of the world was tilting into confit de canard. Your favourite was blue cheese and croissants, which you said you would happily eat in front of the poor. I mean, Khanyi, you’ve simply got to do better. Not even the dirt-poor want to tuck into such a passé repast.

When it comes to smart things, you are as dated as a spittoon.

If you’re going to be a role model, charging people R35000 just for the pleasure of sitting next to you, you need to up your game.

Private things stay private. A line like “Mandla loved anal sex. I remember breaking nails clutching the headboard in pain.” Not smart.

You need to ratchet up, girlie. You said you were extravagant on purpose so you could make your husband broke. “I did my calculations. I bought things and sent the bill to Mandla.” Shame, if you had known about real class you could have sent him into a credit-card coma in a nanosecond.

I mean Versace? Who he?

There’s no doubt your swag needs serious attention. It’s time to stop looking like a footballer’s wife and take up residence in Richistan. Forget about even trying to work – well, that at least won’t be hard – and Melrose Arch, puhleez, you need Place Vendôme at least and a villa in Tuscany, all outfitted with climate-appropriate wardrobes.

Jimmy Choo is made for lap dancers; get handmade Italian Franc Maestri. As for food-chain takeaways as the apogee of culinary fare, phone Fortnum’s in London and have your food couriered overnight like all the inhabitants of Richistan.

And that car – a sunshine-yellow Lambo – should be donated to the Fast and the Furious.

Do you remember that story about your rant and scream when someone, thinking you were a waitress, asked you to get him a glass of water. “I carried on ranting until he knew I was someone.”

You see, Khanyi, someone with class would never have done that. Humbleness is the most desirous trait of the rich and famous, which is why they send their children to expensive schools where they have to take cold baths and get whipped.

You said: “I am like Paris Hilton. I am famous for being famous.”

Nah, baby, Paris Hilton is rich, you are a poor girl from a township with a beautiful face like a slightly flawed walnut, a girl who can be found any day of the week fisticuffing a human wallet, an aspirational nudist who lives off rich men and wears outfits as flimsy as the sun in Scotland, a catastrophist with a carbonated hairdo.

Your speech has a formless loquacity and nobody is going to fall about because of the forked lightning of your wit.

I know you have suffered endless narcissistic injuries having your naked body all over the internet, but finally the value of your life isn’t worth spit because as all the really rich and famous know – the Motsepes, the Oppenheimers, the Gettys – the characteristics most valued among the R&F are courage and good manners.

You say in the book you’ve changed. I hope you have, because I think you are a brave girl who likes to state the truth, who tells it as it is, and you have suffered for that, but you really need to overcome the old unreliable, doesn’t-pitch persona.

And you know, Khanyi, you could be so great, all it would take is a little real care about other people and their feelings.

Perhaps there is just one little word you need to learn: no. If you had said at the beginning that you couldn’t come to Cape Town, it all would have been a lot easier.

Yours sincerely,

Lin Sampson

Black-on-black murders in the USA rising, reports the Wall Street Journal

In this article, The Wall Street Journal looks at the rise in black-on-black crime in the United States. Whereas the media focus on killings of blacks by other races, such as in the Trayvon Martin case, the reality is that most blacks are killed by other blacks.

Communities Struggle to Break a Grim Cycle of Killing

BATON ROUGE, La.—Police found Silas Gibbs Jr. early in the morning of March 3, slumped against the seat belt in a red Mustang, with blood streaming from his ears and mouth. He had been shot, allegedly by one of his closest friends.

Mr. Gibbs, 24 years old, is one of hundreds of young black men across the U.S. to die violently in the past six months. Their deaths are overshadowed by tragedies like the massacres at the Aurora, Colo., movie theater and the Sikh temple in Wisconsin, as well as the killing of 17-year-old Trayvon Martin in Sanford, Fla. The latter case prompted nationwide outcry in part because of its racial aspect: Mr. Martin’s killer is white and Hispanic, and Mr. Martin was black.

But Mr. Martin’s death is a racial aberration, according to data kept by the Justice Department and the Federal Bureau of Investigation. Law-enforcement officials nationwide are battling a far more widespread and intractable problem: the persistent killing of young black men by other young black men.

Battling Black-on-Black Violence

[SB10000872396390443324404577595643201707400]
Brandon Thibodeaux for The Wall Street Journal
Hillar Moore, the district attorney for East Baton Rouge Parish, met with investigators at the scene of a homicide.

Homicide victims usually are killed by people of their own race and ethnicity. The pattern goes back at least a generation.

Bureau of Justice Statistics data show that from 1976 to 2005, white victims were killed by white defendants 86% of the time and black victims were killed by blacks 94% of the time.

Then there is the matter of who is dying. Although the U.S. murder rate has been dropping for years, an analysis of homicide data by The Wall Street Journal found that the number of black male victims increased more than 10%, to 5,942 in 2010 from 5,307 in 2000.

Overall, more than half the nation’s homicide victims are African-American, though blacks make up only 13% of the population. Of those black murder victims, 85% were men, mostly young men.

Despite the declining U.S. murder rate, killings remain stubbornly high in poor pockets of cities large and small. In some cases, the rate is rising sharply. That increase is draining resources from police, prosecutors, social workers and hospitals.

As of Friday, Philadelphia police had been called to 223 homicides, compared with 198 last year. Chicago has recorded 337 murders, compared with 263 in the year-earlier period, a 28% jump. Public outcry there escalated after June 27, when stray bullets fired by an alleged gang member killed 7-year-old Heaven Sutton in a poor area on the city’s West Side. Uproar over the little girl’s death led Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel to announce a gang crackdown in neighborhoods with high murder rates.

The increase isn’t uniform. In New York, 246 people this year have been murdered as of August 5, a 17% decline from a year earlier, police say.

Overwhelmingly, the victims are black men like Mr. Gibbs, who was shot in the back of the head in his car in Louisiana. Or Rahiem Bailey, 29, who was killed during an apparent robbery in Norfolk, Va. He died the evening of Feb. 26, an hour before Mr. Martin, the Florida teenager, was killed by George Zimmerman, a neighborhood watchman. Lecarlos Todd, a 19-year-old college student, was shot to death earlier that same day in Jackson, Tenn., one of numerous people hurt during a melee at a local night spot. Jackson police said he was an innocent bystander.

In each of these cases, the victims were African Americans younger than 30, and the people charged also were young black men.

Law-enforcement officers know the pattern, said Fraternal Order of Police vice president Frank Gale, during recent testimony before a subcommittee of the Senate Judiciary Committee. “As a black law-enforcement officer, I sure would like to see a serious approach to the epidemic levels of violence that exist in far too many of our black communities,” he said.

There is little national attention from policy makers. “I have not seen any federal legislation which would tackle the huge problem” of crime among black Americans, said Mr. Gale, a captain in the Denver County sheriff’s department. “I am not even sure what such a bill would look like,” he added.

Because black-on-black violence tends to stay concentrated within poorer, inner-city areas, there is a lack of wider awareness of the depth of the problem, said Jack Levin of the Brudnick Center on Violence and Conflict at Northeastern University in Boston. “Nobody in this room would even know the name Trayvon Martin if it had been a black kid who shot Trayvon Martin,” said Philadelphia Police Commissioner Charles Ramsey, an African American, speaking at a gun-violence research forum.

Beyond the race question, the case sparked a national debate over controversial “stand your ground” laws, such as Florida’s, which don’t require a person to retreat from a threat. It also raised questions about the role of neighborhood watchmen like Mr. Zimmerman, who faces second-degree murder charges and says he shot Mr. Martin in self-defense. Prosecutors say Mr. Zimmerman ignored a dispatcher’s instructions to not pursue Mr. Martin, precipitating the fatal encounter.

People who dismiss high homicide rates in poor, mostly black neighborhoods as someone else’s problem ignore the cost to society, from police efforts to social services for victims’ families, said Chuck Wexler of the Police Executive Research Forum, a Washington, D.C., think tank that conducts research on criminal justice initiatives. His group calculated the national cost for gun homicides alone in 2010 was more than $43 billion. That encompasses victim costs like lost productivity and medical care, as well as costs for police, prosecution, courts and prison. It also includes costs to the offender’s family.

A 2009 study by Iowa State analyzing other data estimated that a single murder runs up more than $17 million in costs to the police, courts, prisons, social services and to the families of victims and suspects.

“We can and must find a way to stop the killing,” New Orleans Mayor Mitch Landrieu said in May as he announced a new strategy there to combat homicides. It takes a “public health” approach, emphasizing prevention of murder through education, community policing and targeting possible offenders.

The effort, now under way, focuses on poor neighborhoods that are hot spots for violent crime. Some poor black neighborhoods in New Orleans are dominated by “a culture of death” that needs to be broken, Mr. Landrieu, who is white, has said.

It isn’t just major cities. Baton Rouge, La., with 230,000 people, Kalamazoo, Mich., 74,000, and other small metropolises have violent neighborhoods, some with rising numbers of murders, although the numbers are much smaller.

Baton Rouge has had at least 54 murders so far this year, according to police. By the end of August last year, 43 people had been murdered.

In Kalamazoo, police and community leaders have brought in an expert on inner-city violence because of concerns that one neighborhood has been generating most of the city’s murders in recent years. So far this year, four of Kalamazoo’s five murders took place in this one area.

“’Sometimes you can guess who is next by who was killed the night before.’” Hillar Moore, district attorney

“The last national data we have says it’s increasing and it’s been increasing fastest in medium-size and small cities,” said David Kennedy, a criminologist at John Jay College in New York.

Government numbers, while imperfect, show the homicide rate in cities of 1 million or more declining to 11.9 per 100,000 U.S. residents in 2008 from 35.5 in 1991, according to a report from the Bureau of Justice Statistics last year. But it appears to be rising in smaller cities: Separate FBI numbers indicate that homicides rose 4.3% in 2010 from the previous year in cities of 250,000 to 499,000 people.

Mr. Kennedy says one promising solution involves bringing in violence-prone people in specific neighborhoods to meet with law enforcement, clergy, relatives, residents and other government services. People who cooperate get employment and education help. If bad behavior continues, prosecutors push for maximum penalties.

Boston tried a version of this in 1996, and saw youth homicides drop precipitously. In one two-year period, no teenagers younger than 18 were killed. The program ended in 2000, in part because of its success. It restarted several years later when youth murders increased.

Critics say the Boston plan gets too much credit. They cite an overall decline in homicides nationwide during the period it was in operation.

In the area where Mr. Gibbs died in Baton Rouge, a variation of this kind of intense anti-violence effort is being tested. Known as the Baton Rouge Area Violence Elimination Project, it focuses on a three-mile-square economically depressed area considered the epicenter for violent crime in the city. About 160 young men have been identified and are being brought in to talk to police and other officials.

Northeast of the Louisiana state capitol, fast-food restaurants, bail-bondsman offices and rundown homes abound. The area holds 13% of the city’s population but accounts for 30% of homicides, according to the District Attorney’s Office. From 2007 to 2011, police reported 11,256 people were victims of firearm crimes in the area, more than 90% of them African-American.

Hillar Moore, the district attorney for East Baton Rouge Parish, says authorities must try new methods to break the pattern. Mr. Moore tries to go to every homicide scene, he says, and finds that the “vast majority” of the killings “will be over nonsense.”

At 3 a.m. just this Friday, Mr. Moore was out again, this time at the scene of the shooting death of 18-year-old Ty O’Brian Porter. Police don’t have a suspect but say they believe the shooting resulted from a neighborhood dispute.

Retaliation is a recurring theme in the homicides he investigates, Mr. Moore said, which perpetuates the cycle of killing. “Sometimes you can guess who is next by who was killed the night before,” he said.

But because people often are reluctant to cooperate with an investigation, the next killing can be tough to prevent. “They know they’re next, and yet still they do not want police intervention,” he said.

image
Silas Gibbs

 

Silas Gibbs was murdered in early March. He was allegedly shot by a friend.

It was quick-trigger violence that ended the life of Silas Gibbs, once an aspiring football running back, in the early morning hours of a rainy Saturday in March. Mr. Gibbs grew up in the small town of Clinton, about an hour’s drive northeast of Baton Rouge, and is remembered as “quiet and respectful,” said Clinton police Chief Eddie Stewart. He was the kind of young man who would go unnoticed, “until Friday nights. Under the lights on the football field, playing for Clinton, that’s when you noticed him. He came alive.”

He headed to Southern University in Baton Rouge in 2007 to play football. But things started to fall apart. Because of poor grades, he remained academically ineligible to play ball for most of his time at the school.

When his father was diagnosed with prostate cancer, he started traveling back and forth to Clinton to care for him, his mother said. At the same time, Mr. Gibbs had a daughter, born in 2008, and sought ways to support her.

He pleaded guilty to a misdemeanor conviction for intent to distribute marijuana in 2008 following a traffic stop, when a Drug Enforcement Administration agent found Mr. Gibbs in possession of 23 bags of marijuana and $900 in cash. When the DEA agent who stopped him asked why he was involved, Mr. Gibbs answered he had a small child to support, according to court records.

Mr. Gibbs received probation for a year. The judge set aside the conviction in 2011 after Mr. Gibbs had no further legal problems.

Mr. Gibbs dropped out of Southern. He hauled scrap in the absence of full-time work. His father, the man who had guided him to football and helped him find odd jobs, was dead from cancer. He had a second daughter and helped raise a young nephew whose mother had died in a car wreck.

Toya Williams, Mr. Gibb’s live-in girlfriend and mother of his second daughter, described in an interview the night he died. The two had argued, by text message, as Mr. Gibbs spent the evening with friends while she stayed with her daughter in the mobile home they shared. She went to bed.

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When she awoke in the morning, she noticed two missed calls on her cellphone from 1:20 a.m. They were both from Mr. Gibbs’s phone. She called back. “It just kept ringing and ringing,” she said.

Hours earlier, at 2:45 a.m., police received a call of an abandoned car on the highway. An officer found Mr. Gibbs in the car with the stereo blaring. At first, the officer thought Mr. Gibbs was sleeping, but then he saw the blood.

He summoned an ambulance, followed soon by a homicide team. The detectives began canvassing relatives and friends in the early morning for possible leads.

Ms. Williams caught a ride to her job at Wal-Mart, where she works in maintenance. She first learned of Mr. Gibbs’s death around 8 a.m., when a neighbor phoned with the news. His sister texted the message next. Then a Baton Rouge police detective called. Only when Mr. Gibbs’s mother, Rosie Triplett, phoned to talk about his funeral, Ms. Williams said, did she accept that he was dead.

Her life, already a financial struggle, is now more difficult. Among other things, she must now hire baby sitters when she is at work. Previously, Mr. Gibbs provided child care.

Witnesses to the killing told Baton Rouge police that Walter Fort, 22, a longtime friend of Mr. Gibbs and his former dorm-mate in college, shot him from the back seat of the car. Prosecutors say Mr. Fort pulled the gun during a heated argument, and haven’t said what caused the dispute.

Mr. Gibbs’s family say they believe Mr. Fort had been jealous of Mr. Gibbs’s popularity and athletic success, but they are struggling to understand the rationale for the alleged shooting. “Nobody’s giving us a motive,” said his mother, Ms. Triplett. “I just want…I just want to know why he did it. For what reason? Is it a hate thing or a jealous thing?”

Mr. Fort had no previous criminal record aside from a 2008 rape charge that was dropped when the alleged victim declined to cooperate.

Mr. Fort fled Baton Rouge and was arrested at Texas Southern University in Houston. He is currently being held in the parish jail in Baton Rouge, without bond, as he awaits trial on charges of second-degree murder and illegal use of firearms. Prosecutors are now preparing their case. Barry Milligan, Mr. Fort’s public defender, declined to comment.

Mr. Gibbs is buried beside his father and his sister at Mount Carmel Cemetery in Clinton, La. The family is trying to pull together the funds to buy a headstone.

Mr. Gibbs’s younger sister, Lakitia Triplett, was pregnant at the time her brother died. She lives with her mother, a few blocks east from where her brother’s body was found, in Baton Rouge’s most dangerous neighborhood. Earlier this year she described her anxieties over the future prospects of her then-unborn child. “I have to be worried, you have to,” she said. “People killing people every day over just nonsense.”

A few weeks ago, Ms. Triplett gave birth to a son. She named him Silas.

Read the original article in the Wall Street Journal.

How Canon Collins and friends smuggled £100,000,000 to South Africa

Canon John Collins at an anti-nuclear rally in Trafalgar Square, London in February 1961 Photo: Wikipedia

This article was writen by Denis Herbstein and published in the Observer Review on Sunday 5th May 1991. In it the author boasts of how the Anglican Church fomented revolution in South Africa by funding political trials and insurrection against a sovereign state, supposedly on friendly terms with Great Britain.

Many of the people Herbstein calls ‘political activists’ were in fact terrorists, laying mines on the roads frequented by farmers and their families, or placing bombs in supermarkets or on sidewalks such as the notorious ‘Church Street bomb’ that went off on 20 May 1983 in Pretoria, killing 19 people and injuring or maiming 219 others. The clergy of the Anglican Church and especially Canon Collins, had in fact embraced violence and terror as an essential means to bring the South African government to its knees.

For his contribution to the downfall of the previous South African government, Canon Collins  (1905–1982) was posthumously awarded The Order of the Companions of OR Tambo in Gold on 27 April 2007 by the ANC regime of South Africa. His wife, Diana Collins, was knighted by the Queen of England in 1999 as a Dame Commander of the Order of the British Empire.

At last, ‘Defence and Aid’ can own up to prodigious feats. Over the past quarter of a century, since it was banned by Pretoria, the London-based anti-apartheid organisation has smuggled £100 million into South Africa. The money has been used for the defence of thousands of political activists and to provide aid for their families while they were in prison.

The International Defence and Aid Fund for Southern Africa, to give it its full name, was the brain-child of John Collins, a Canon of St Paul’s Cathedral, and was never penetrated by Pretoria’s feared secret police, BOSS. Last year, IDAF was unbanned by President F. W. de Klerk. There was no longer a need for the cloak and dagger. The story can now be told.

Canon Collins’s flair for raising money for radical causes faced its baptism in 1956, when South Africa launched the firstof its treason trials. The canon guaranteed the legal costs and support for the 156 accused and their families. He was as good as his word. He wrote to the newspapers, held protest meetings and art exhibitions, had Paul Robeson singing spirituals in the cathedral. Almost single-handed, he raised two thirds of the costs of £250,000, the remainder coming from Defence and Aid in South Africa. The trial dragged on for four years before the last of them was acquitted.

By then, the British Defence and Aid Fund for Southern Africa (as it was first called) was in operation. Nelson Mandela, on the run from South Africa, came one day in 1962 to lunch at Amen Court, the family’s grace-andfavour house near St Paul’s. Collins’s widow, Diana, says: ‘He asked John if he would still support them if they turned to violence. There was a long discussion. John was a pacifist, but he said it was not for us to tell South African blacks what to do. Whatever they were accused of, they should have a fair trial and their families helped.’

A year later, Mandela, Walter Sisulu and other ANC leaders were in the dock at the Rivonia Trial. Their defence costs were largely met by Defence and Aid. Otherwise, Mandela et al might not have been saved from the gallows.

The small fry were not forgotten. A prosecutor in the Eastern Cape was heard to lament: ‘We have no problem in political cases – they all plead gilty, then Defence and Aid steps in.’

Defence and Aid went international in 1965, with branches in Britain, New Zealand, Scandinavia, Holland and India. Collins made his plans clear to the United Nations special committee on apartheid: ‘No political organisation which seeks to change South Africa’s racial policies can function properly in the open; the black political organisations are banned. Those who wish to continue the struggle have to go underground. But what man or woman can happily or easily undertake such dangerous work if he or she knows that, by doing do, the wellbeing of the children and other dependants is at stake?

No wonder the Pretorias hated Defence and Aid and the irrepresible ‘politial priest’ who was forever putting apartheid in the dock of world opinion. On 18 March 1966, Johannes Vorster, Minister of Justice, banned the South African Defence and Aid Committee as an ‘unlawful organisation’ under the Suppression of Communism Act. Lengthy prison sentences awaited those who handled the tainted money. The Terrorism Act would make it a capital offence to attempt to bring about social change with the help of a foreign government or institution, even when no violence was involved. The safety net which Collins had promised to those on trial for their beliefs seemed doomed. The Canon of St
Paul’s cast about for a solution.

It came from Neville Rubin, a liberal South African lawyer, who devised a barriered system of legal firms using numbered trust accounts. They found a sympathetic solicitor, another South African, Martin Bayer, of Birkbeck, Montagu’s in St Bride’s Street, a short walk from the cathedral. Within a fortnight, Collins, Rubin, Bayer, his colleague William Frankel and Phylis Altman, the IDAF general-secretary, had agreed on a plan that would keep the South African at arms’ length for a long while.

The plan came in two parts. Collins set up a network of impeccable donors to fund defences. The recruits were not bogus, but little of the money was to come from their own pockets.

The smokescreen featured Lord (Jock) Campbell, Booker sugar baron and chairman of the New Statesman board; Jacquetta Hawkes, J.B. Priestley’s wife; two Labour peers, Walston and Mitchison, and the latter’s authoress wife Naomi; Lord (C.P.) Snow; and Professor Norman Bentwich. They became trustees of fine sounding organisations operated through numbered accounts at the Zurich branch of Lloyds Bank, and later the Union Bank of Switzerland.

Campbell chaired the ‘Freedom from Fear International Charitable Foundation’ for the legal defence programme, while the ‘Freedom from Hardship International Charitable Foundation’ accounted for welfare. Diana Collins is blunt about their role: ‘We managed to get these very public, respectable people to perjure themselves in a good cause by saying they had sent money.’

The second leg was the creation of a cordon sanitaire of solicitors who would correspond with the South African trial lawyers and transmit funds to them. These front firms never breathed a word about their connection with Birkbeck’s, who in turn carefully concealed the Collins link. Snoopers were thus two removes a least off scent. At IDAF, Collins and Phylis Altman alone were in on the ruse.

The Birkbeck lawyers explained to the front solicitors that delicate political reasons precluded the firm from handling such matters. They were nervous because of their South African clients. Consolidated Goldfields, under fire for its employment policies, might have been dismayed to learn that its then lawyers were in league with white South Africa’s favourite hate figure.

In the early days there were also friendly lawyers in Canada, Switzerland, New York, France and West Germany, and it might have seemed to Pretoria that they represented a wide spread of well-wishers. After a while, the lion’s share of work was consolidated in three or four English firms. They were not radical, simply people disturbed by the turn of events in South Africa. They believed that the money passing through their account came from a bona fide charitable trust or the private account of well-to-do, albeit left-of-centre, sponsors.

In time, these firms of English solicitors, little known to the British public, acquired enduring fame in revolutionary trials across South Africa – Carruthers & Co and Fox & Gibbons in the West End; Cole & Cole in Oxford; and more recently, Miller & Co in Cambridge, where Rosemary Sands has undertaken the bulk of the conduit work in the hectic years since 1985.

When a trial was in the offing, the phone would ring and a le-Carre-esque voice intone: ‘The boss wants to see Mr X’ (Frankel, who took over the Birkbeck work) or ‘Mr Y’ (Bayer).

The caller was David (now Sir David) Floyd-Ewin, registrar at St Paul’s, the canon’s go-between for much of the period. They met in the Chapter House or in the deserted cathedral, whispering to each other across the pews. Frankel recalls strolling along in earnest converse when Canon Collins opened a door that seemed part of the wall. No outsider culd have suspected that it led to a room. the Narnia alcove was the ‘Canon’s Closet’, where the cathedral’s canons prepared for services.

Frankel would then instruct one of the conduit firms to write to attorneys in South Africa thus: ‘We have read in the newspapers about the trial and have been asked by a British client to offer financial support.’

Henry Brown was a young attorney handling much of the political work at Frank, Bernadt and Joffe in Cape Town in the 1960s. He had 400 people, including Mandela, on his books, facing prison trials, appeals, and death penalties; most, it transpired, were funded by IDAF. Ostensibly, much of the money came from Lord Mitchison, through Fox & Gibbons in London. it happened that an attorney in a remote dorp complained of not having the resources to defend a group of men facing serious charges. A government official offered a solution: ‘Go to Brown. He can get money from Lord Mitchison.’

Sometimes the guard slipped. In the first show trial after the banning, 37 Namibians were up for treason in Pretoria. Defending them was clearly going to be costly. To counteract talk of Russian money, the defence attorney, Joel Carlson, let slip the Lord Campbell connection. Collins was horrified, but Campbell saved the day. ‘I knew it was not Eastern European money,’ he recalls, ‘so I agreed it should go through my account, though I was embarrassed because it was not mine. I did give IDAF some money, but not nearly as much as mythology suggests.’

Collins was in a dilemma. IDAF’s public face, its research and publicity sections, were effectively living up the credo of ‘keeping the conscience of the world alive’ on the apartheid issue. But he wanted blacks to know that Europeans were playing a direct role in the struggle. He knew that disclosing too much would destroy all he had built up. Within two years of the banning, he could assure the United Nations that IDAF was still fully operational, ‘despite all that the South African government and its supporters inside and outside South Africa have done to inhibit us.’

By the 1970s, South African agents were known to be active in Britain. The wiliest of Pretoria’s operatives, Craig Williamson, infiltrated deep into liberal circles, ending up deputy director of the Scandinavian-funded International University Exchange Fund in Geneva, which gave scholarships to hundreds of black refugees.

But IDAF was a bigger prize. He once cabled an attorney in South Africa promising funds for a trial, then asked Phyllis Altman at IDAF to reimburse him, hoping to establish the connection with a banned organisation.

Altman never dropped her guard. Williamson destroyed IUEF, but could not take IDAF down as well. The British Special Branch also seemed watchful. Lord Gardiner, when Lord Chancellor, called at Amen Court one day, and found his host on the phone. ‘If i were you, John,’ he said, pointing at the instrument, ‘I shouldn’t trust that thing.’ Diana Collins claims to have independent confirmation that their phone was bugged. The British and South African secret services, tailing CND and IDAF respectively, would have found common ground in the person of John Collins.

Collins died on 1 January 1983 and was buried in the cathedral where he never became dean, the one religious appointment he cherished. But his temporal achievements more than compensated for that. His successor at IDAF, Archbishop Trevor Huddleston, gave the address at the memorial service, and ANC leader Oliver Tambo read the parable of the Good Samaritan.

By then the canon’s underground liberation movement was well equipped to take on the greatly increased demands soon to arise. IDAF was possibly the South African legal profession’s most reliable employer, with more than 150 attorneys and 80 advocates on its books, though few realised where the money was coming from. In 1990 alone, lawyers received £5.65 million in fees.

Not all played the game. A Transvaal attorney decamped to England and threatened IDAF with exposure if he were not paid the money he claimed to be owed. Collins fearful of exposure, handed over £15,000 after clearing it with his donors. Frankel insists that misappropriation was negligible over the years. The IDAF books at Birkbeck’s were separately audited for presentation to the United Nations Trust Fund for Southern Africa.

Johannesburg accountants, Douglas and Velcich, carried out spot checks. As a result, 54 attorneys had their accounts queried. Overchargers were advised to tone down their fees. If not, they were asked to produce business accounts. Many small country firms, black and white, were heavily dependent on IDAF, and feared the ultimate sanction.

Reining in the Bar was more difficult. The big bucks – or more aptly, the big kroners – arrived in 1985, when trials and detentions began in earnest. IDAF, in consultation with the Washington-based Lawyers Committee for Civil Rights Under the Law, which funded some trials, drew up a tariff. (The ceiling is now R23,000 – £4,600 – a month for a senior counsel on retainer.) Some did say, ‘This is human rights work, OK,’ but for most of the Bar, a tariff was anathema. Nobody, however, could raise money like Defence and Aid. ‘It became a matter of wills,’ says Frankel, ‘and we won.’

Despite the legerdemain, it is hard to believe that from the mid-1980s, South Africa was unaware of the enormous transfer of funds. Phyllis Altman believes they did knowit was IDAF, but couldn’t fathom how. A cynic might suggest that a hard-pressed minister of finance swallowed twice and turned a blind eye to a huge inflow of foreign currency.

Without IDAF’s £60 million the mass of men and women in political trials over the last three decades would have entered the dock naked. The alternative in capital cases was a pro deo, or poor people’s, defence by an advocate fresh out of law school. The parsimonious state legal aid system did not look kindly on ‘politicals.’ In 1990, IDAF transfered R35 million for political defences, compared with Pretoria’s R17m in legal aid for all criminal trials.

Since January 1985, IDAF has funded 16,551 legal matters. This staggering figure covers State of Emergency detentions, pre-trial procedures, show trials, the common-law prosecution of street activists for stone throwing or school marches, stays of execution, criminal appeals, inquests, appeals by blacks forced out of white Group Areas, rural communities driven off their land, the restraint of harrasing policemen, commissions of inquiry.

IDAF financed the team appearing for the family of Steve Biko’s inquest – and is currently funding Winnie Mandela’s defence, a source of controversy. Robert Sobukwe, the Pan African Congress leader, was given a start to his legal practice in his Kimberley exile. In 1989, IDAF handled 198 children’s cases: 167 came to trial, when 134 charges were withdrawn. In 1990 alone, the legal work affected 28,000 South Africans. This year, it is 20,000.

Since 1983, the thousands of legal files have been handled on the top floor of IDAF headquarters in Canon Collins House, Islington. The offices of Programme One, as it was known, were out of bounds to the rest of the staff, who had little idea what went on above them. Every week, Frankel would peruse the high pile of documentation which arrived from the front solicitors, and send it on to be dealt with by the six-person staff.

On that floor, behind the same locked door, was IDAF’s welfare arm, Programme Two. Collins had made it an act of faith to alleviate the hardship of all prison dependants – and of the prisoners themselves, who, on release, were liable to be banned, held under house arrest or prevented from working; in other words, planned destitution.

As with the lawyers, welfare recipients had to be protected from the London connection. The solution, the brainchild of Phyllis Altman, was deceptively simple. It depended on hundreds of letter writers sending money through the post and keeping quiet about it for years. The first batch was recruited by the IDAF inner circle, and grew into a network covering Scandinavia, Holland, Ireland and Canada. Today there are 375 correspondents in Britain and another 250 abroad, of whom 115 are in Canada and 50 in Norway. Some have been writing to the same wife or grantmother for over 20 years.

Letter writers were unconnected with the struggle, and so beyond suspicion. No IDAF employee could be a correspondent, and South Africans were rare, for they might have been finger-printed or their handwriting known to BOSS.

Eileen Wainwright was living in Hemel Hempstead in 1972 when a friend, the sister of an exile, Hilda Bernstein, asked if she would write ‘as a concerned member of the public’ to a family in South Africa and enclose some cash. She ended up with 16 families on her roster. Only her husband was privy to the secret.

The letter writer’s opening gambit was carefully worded: ‘Dear Mrs Mpetla, I  write as a concerned member of the public. I have heard you are in trouble. My friends would like to help you.’

It worked like clockwork. Every two months a bulky registered packet containing hundreds of pounds in cash arrived from a ‘Rev Williams’, for conversion into postal orders. The packet contained directions on what should be said to each family.

There was a flat two-monthly grant of £140 per family and an extra £60 a year for each school-going child, even for a family of 10 (blacks unlike whites, pay to go to school). A funeral was worth £300. There was extra for medical treatment, and to travel to Cape Town for a visit to Robben Island prison, a boon when you lived 1,500 miles away on the Zimbabwe border.

On release, a prisoner, whether famous or unknown, received R100 (£20) for every year inside. Mandela got R2,800. Ex-prisoners have been helped to complete their school exams, to study teaching or hairdressing. Others were set up in business with a knitting machine. Over the years, the programme has benefited 45,000 people.

Across South Africa, in tin hovels and mud huts, in bulging townships and sordid prisons, the recipients puzzled over the generous foreigners who had taken them under their wing – so unlike ‘Europeans’ at home.

‘Friend,’ one wrote, ‘I don’t know what i should do for you, so that you will see how essential are you in our lives.’

A mother passed on a message from her son, aged 13, that ‘now he can read and write english he is going to write you a sweet and detailed letter very soon.’

A correspondent, David Armstrong, was thought to be a vicar, though why, he was asked, did his letters not end with ‘I pray for you’? From 1985 the letters became more overtly political. A woman with a chest infection brought on by tear gas thrown into her yard, wrote: ‘In a way the stressful situation for the family is relieved when the father is in detention because at least now there is a relief because we’re not raided at home.’

For the most part, they said thanks, listed their needs, talked of the weather, or of a grandmother who had died. They were not grabbers. A physically handicapped woman qualified as a nurse, found a job and wrote: ‘Please give the grant to someone else.’

The British letter writers sent the replies on to a London accommodation address, or to a real person with no apparent IDAF connection. Father John Sherrington’s vicarage in north-west London was one of these.

Accommodation addresses were shuffled regularly. The IDAF workers who collected the mail from the post boxes were always white and British, and never went twice in a row nor at a regular time. But as the British letter writers were twice removed from the IDAF, BOSS would have needed vast resources and a degree of good fortune to reach the pot of gold.

Inside South Africa, the consequences of detection were far more serious. The editor of Muslim News, Imam Abdullah Haron, died in police custody in Cape Town, ‘falling down stairs.’ One of his crimes was to distribute IDAF money to families of political prisoners. More fortunate was the Anglican Dean of Johannesburg, the Very Rev Gonville Ffrench-Beytagh, who was sent down for five years under the Terrorism Act for helping dependants with rent, food, school fees, even spectacles. He got off on appeal.

All the while Mrs Hodgon and her team analysed the letters and evaluated the financial needs. A bulky registered letter would set the eight-week cycle turning again.

The 10 women in Programme Two adhered to Trappist vows of secrecy. Penelope Mayson is married to an exiled Methodist, Cedric Mayson, who would never have given the game away. He thougt his wife spent her days filing. It was a strain not talking, she says, ‘some of those letters were so harrowing.’

The correspondence often grew into genuine affection. David Armstrong was recruited 15 years ago by a fellow lecturer at Barnet College, Herts. ‘I had no knowledge of their lives, and did not wish to incriminatethem. So in a very British way, I wrote about the weather and my garden.’ At one time, both Joyce Mashamba and her husband were in prison, and their three sons were looked after by the grandmother. On her release, she wrote that vigilantes had ransacked her house. Armstrong burst into tears. ‘I was so angry that all I could do was send letters saying it was raining here and how’s the weather there?’

One day last year the telephone rang in his London house; Mrs Mashamba was in England on a course. ‘She sat in our dinning room telling her story. In and out of prison, harassed, isolated from husband and children. Yet they never broke her. I knew then that my work had been worthwhile, for now I understood the personal dimension of her struggle.’

For Armstrong, there was one jarring note. Five years ago IDAF discontinued the cumbersome ‘cash in the bag’ system and asked its correspodents whether they minded if the money went by bank transfer to their nearest Barclays Bank, where they would be expected to open an account. Barclays was then an antiapartheid target because of its extensive interests in South Africa – which is why the bank was convenient for IDAF. Armstrong gritted his teeth and went along with the plan.

Now Programme Two is being closed down. At the end of April, IDAF will hand over its files to the South African Council of Churches Dependants’ Conference. Peggy Stevenson, the programme director, has confessed to her letter-writers that, yes, IDAF was behind it all these years. She asked them to explain this to their South African families. Mrs Wainwright, now living in Devon, has mixed feelings: ‘They thought I was a great philanthropist. They didn’t know the money went further than me. So I was pleased to write and say where it realy came from. But I’ll feel bereft. Mt Meals-on-Wheels work in Lympstone is tame compared with writing letters to South Africa.

The £100 million estimated by IDAF’s current director Horst Kleinschmidt, have got into South Africa has come largely from Scandinavia and the United Nations.

Britain made one miniscule grant, preferring the doomed IUEF in Geneva. The Carter Administration proffered a small ‘one-off’. Former Prime Minister Vorster used to say that IDAF was ‘kept afloat’ by Communists, and he was correct in one respect: the contributions were in kind – wine from Bulgaria, slivovitz from Yugoslavia, a large consignment of vodka from the Soviet Union which Collins auctioned in the London docks.

In a way, the operation was a partnership between Canon Collins and the Swedish public. The link-man was a Swedish journalist, Per Wastberg, who in 1960 wrote a series of articles about apartheid in Dagens Nyheter. Money poured in from readers, and a defence and aid committee was set up.

In 1965, the Swedish government made its initial grants to IDAF; the UN Trust Fund followed suit the next year. Over the years IDAF would receive regular donations from 10-15 countries (and the UN from further 15). Sweden, Norway and Holland were the largest, India a modest but reliable contributor. Last year Sweden’s aid organisation, SIDA, donated £4 million to IDAF.

Programme One closed down last week, and human rights cases will be handled by agencies in South Africa. The country’s ‘IDAF lawyers’ now know the route of the funds they were receiving. It prompted one unwitting beneficiary, Cape Town lawyer Dullar Omar, to say: ‘Nobody knew where the money came from. Nobody got kudos. This was the key to its success.’ When Nelson Mandela was told of the extent of IDAF’s role he was said to have been amazed.

Diana Collins’s eyes light up at the memory of her husband: ‘They were extraordinary activities for a Canon of St Paul’s. I used to tell him that i married him under false pretences. There was an easy-going don at Oxford and my family preferred him to John. Such a dull life married to a clergyman!’