TAMPA, Fla. (AP) — One way to think about this year’s election is as a contest between the impact of a sour economy (advantage Romney) and the power of the nation’s shifting demographics (advantage Obama).
Put simply, the groups that support President Barack Obama most strongly – blacks, Hispanics, young people, unmarried women – have been growing as a share of the electorate. Those who support Mitt Romney the most – white working men and older people – have not.
This demographic tide is so strong that some Democrats came away from their 2008 victory feeling that a political reordering was in the works that could be as important as the New Deal realignment that ushered in a generation of Democratic strength after the Great Depression.
The Great Recession put a deep dent in that hope of theirs, as it soured most other optimism around America.
But now both Republicans and Democrats see that the demographic tide is still running. But it is running into the effects of the bad economy.
As Republicans convened here this week, Jeb Bush, the former Florida governor, issued a warning to his fellow Republicans. Perhaps the economic hard times would get them through this year. But soon they would have to face the longer-term implications of America’s population shifts.
“Our demographics are changing, and we have to change. Not necessarily our core beliefs, but the tone of our message and the message and the intensity of it for sure,” Bush said. “I don’t think that’s going to have an impact in this election though. . But long-term, conservative principles, if they’re to be successful and implemented, there has to be a concerted effort to reach out to a much broader audience than we do today.”
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DEMOCRATS ARE hoping Bush is wrong about the impact this year. In fact, it could be said they are hoping the continuing demographic shifts will salvage Obama from the wreckage of the economy.
Charles Cook, one of the country’s foremost analysts of election trends, says that basic public opinion about the election has been so stable now for so many months “that the makeup of the electorate is one of the few critical questions.”
There are different ways to express the changes that electoral makeup is undergoing.
The percentage of the electorate that is white and not of Hispanic origin has been dropping steadily. It was about 90 percent of the vote in the 1970s. By 2008 it was 74 percent. The white vote has declined an average of 3 points each presidential election since 1992.
Will the trend continue into 2012?
Yes, concludes a study by a liberal think tank that looked at census data in battleground states. The researchers, Ruy Teixeira and John Halpin of the Center for American Progress, combined declines in the white electorate (3 percent) with growth among blacks and Hispanics (2 percent) as well as college-educated whites (1 percent), who are more sympathetic to Democrats than white voters in general. That produced a total swing of 6 percent toward voters more likely to favor Obama.
But demographics are not always destiny. Population trends don’t actually register voters or bring them to the polls. The drubbing Democrats took in 2010 was largely explained by the very low turnout among some of their normally loyalist voters. Young voters who helped elect Obama in 2008 stayed away in droves at the midterm. So did blacks and Hispanics
The same thing could happen this year. “Will Democratic apathy and Republican energy make the electorate much more conservative leaning than its underlying demographics would suggest?” Teixera and Halpin asked.
That question is driving both sides, and the effects can be seen everywhere in the presidential campaign.
Just Wednesday, Obama campaigned among University of Virginia students in Charlottesville, one of four college-town appearances he is making in a week to gin up enthusiasm among young voters.
“Go out there, register,” he implored the students, “Stand up. If you do, we will win Virginia and if we win Virginia we will win this election and we will finish what we started.”
Meantime, Ann Romney went to the Latino Coalition lunch here at the Republican convention, part of a concerted Republican effort to reduce Obama’s margins among Hispanics. “I admire your community so much because I know how much you value family and what sacrifices you make for your families,” she said.
She stressed the Republican theme that Obama was unsympathetic to small business. “The Latino community is the huge engine of small business,” she said, and “they are mistaken if they think they are going to be better off” if Obama is re-elected.
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REVIVING THE economy is an appeal Republicans hope will be heard by all voters, including those who have leaned Democratic. The downturn hit everyone, after all. Pat Mullins, Republican chair in Virginia, said party polling had found that Hispanic voters were less worried about immigration policy than unemployment.
“They’re concerned about the same things we are – that their kids have the advantage to better themselves,” he said. “That’s what they moved here for.”
But around the convention there is a palpable subtext, exemplified by Jeb Bush, that just relying on the economic message was a recipe for trouble, certainly in the long term. “We need to start being certain these various communities have leadership roles,” Mullins said.
The question of roles sparked some blunt exchanges this week.
The chairman of next week’s Democratic National Convention, Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa, took a shot at the Republicans for lining up a string of minority speakers at the opening night of the convention. “You can’t just trot out a brown face or a Spanish surname and expect people are going to vote for your party or your candidate,” Villaraigosa said.
Indeed, the racial fault lines between the parties are creating conversations that are not always pretty.
A search for black faces at the Republican convention has become a kind of game on Twitter under the hashtag “negrospotting.” The pop singer Clay Aiken wrote that he and his brother had been watching and taking a drink each time they spotted a black face and were, as their hashtag put it, “soberasamormon.” This prompted the country star John Rich to tweet that Aiken “should be ashamed for racist comments like that.”
The Republican Party says delegates aren’t asked to identify their race, so they don’t know how many are black. The Joint Center for Political and Economic Studies, which has been counting just that since 1974, says there are 46 black delegates, or about 2 percent.
And when it comes to Hispanics, Romney hurt himself during the primaries, particularly when he refused to support Republican Florida Sen. Marco Rubio’s legislation to address the problem of young illegal aliens who were brought to the United States by their parents and have lived here for years, gone to school and built lives but remain illegal. Obama then outmaneuvered Romney by unilaterally suspending deportations of these residents.
To counter this, Romney took a step that reflects the very notion Jeb Bush raised – to look at the makeup of the electorate, shape the message and change its intensity. For his speech Thursday evening, the newly minted nominee has chosen someone to introduce him who reflects that changing demographic and can, not coincidentally, help to deliver it: Marco Rubio.
A 22-year-old man has been released on police bail in connection with racist tweets aimed at the West Ham striker Carlton Cole, police said.
The man, from Southend in Essex, was arrested on suspicion of a racially aggravated public order offence.
The footballer highlighted the messages on Twitter, which he received after his side’s defeat at Swansea at the weekend.
The 28-year-old player was targeted by the supposed Hammers fan in two foul-mouthed postings after West Ham lost 3-0 in south Wales.
The comments, which the player retweeted from his @CarltonCole1 account, questioned his performance and used a racist term to describe him.
A police spokesman said: “A man from Southend who was arrested in connection with racist football tweets has been released on police bail while the investigation continues.
“The 22-year-old man was arrested on Sunday August 26 following the tweets to West Ham player Carlton Cole. He has been released on police bail until Friday September 28 pending further inquiries.”
Cole took to Twitter to criticise his abuser.
He said: “Listen, i take racism a lot lighter than others and i do understand the banter that comes a long with it to get under peoples skin but…
“… it can sometimes be hurtful & insulting, i don’t mind when people criticise me for having a bad game or they think I’m crap at football…
“…but just say that, whether i am crap or had a bad game has nothing to with my race, creed or religion. lets just keep it FOOTBALL. Kapeesh? “
Fellow West Ham players Matt Jarvis, Kevin Nolan and Guy Demel were also subjected to abuse. – Press Association
John Galliano receiving his Legion d'Honneur from former French president Nicolas Sarkozy
ArtLyst reports that John Galliano 51, the former top British fashion designer, has been stripped of his French Legion d’Honneur award. Galiano was found guilty on a charge of “public racism” last year in September.
He was charged after verbally abusing curator, Geraldine Bloch, 35, and her Asian companion, 41-yr-old Philippe Virgitti. He called Ms Bloch a “dirty whore”and “dirty Jewish face” several times. The incident that led to his arrest originated from this outburst and were the center for the investigation and charges and fines imposed. Bloch is also personally suing Mr Galliano over this outburst of anti-Semitic abuse, that lasted 45 minutes. He was charged with “public insults based on race or ethnicity”. She told the court he had mocked her appearance and clothing during the February incident, and that the word “Jewish” was “one of the most recurrent”. The designer, was fired by the Dior fashion house following the allegations. Galliano said he had no recollection of the events and denied being racist.
At the same time he was also accused of verbally attacking a 47-yr-old English language teacher, Fatiha Oummedour and subjecting her to a series of expletive-laced racist and anti-Jewish remarks. A third incident in the Café La Perle bar near Galliano’s home,resulted in the designer being filmed on a mobile phone slurring the words “I love Hitler”. The video shows him telling two Italian women, that he believed to be Jewish that their mothers and forefathers should have been gassed. Neither of the women pressed charges But the video was a YouTube sensation and later used by the prosecution as evidence against the designer. The designer has apologised for the “sadness” of his behaviour and subsequently checked into rehab for his addictions. He has highlighted his personal struggle with drugs and claimed to the court that he had been out of control for some time. This did not have much influence on the judges decision.He was given suspended fines totalling 6,000 euros (£4,800; $7,500) over the incident.
The fashion house Dior sacked Galliano in March 2011, stating a zero-tolerance policy on racism. Galliano credited with revitalising the Dior brand, had been its creative director since 1996. He had also since been fired from his own eponymous label ‘John Galliano’, which is majority-owned by Dior. Galliano had been chief designer at Dior for 15 years and has won numerous British Fashion Designer of the Year award including the top award on four occasions. Despite the accolades he has spent the last sixth months excommunicated from the fashion industry. John has done the unspeakable and as talented as he is will find it tough to claw his way back from the last season racks at TJ Maxx and Century 21. Both discount fashion chains are currently full of his clothes at knock down prices.
German President Joachim Gauck on Sunday demanded courage from civilians and more action from officials to prevent a repeat of the orgy of racist violence that shook Rostock two decades ago. Commentators say the speech said too little on the amount of racism still prevalent in German society.
“We are strong. We know that we are strong. Our homeland will not fall into Nazi hands!” That was the central message delivered by German President Joachim Gauck on Sunday at events commemorating the 20th anniversary of the racist attacks on an asylum-seekers hostel on the outskirts of Rostock.
“We can’t erase the biggest xenophobic riots in the history of post-war Germany,” he said. “As such, we are all the more obligated to prevent the incident from being forgotten.”
As he spoke, Gauck stood in front of the so-called “Sunflower House,” a concrete block building in the Rostock suburb of Lichtenhagen which was once used to shelter asylum seekers. For four days, from Aug. 22 to Aug. 26, 1992, a right-wing mob — supported by thousands of sympathetic locals — surrounded the building, chanted xenophobic slogans, threw rocks and, ultimately, set a neighboring building on fire where over 100 guest workers from Vietnam lived.
The police response was largely ineffective. Incredibly, nobody died in the attack, but the sheer scale of it came as a shock to post-reunification Germany and turned it into a symbol of the several, large-scale xenophobic attacks that marred the country in the early 1990s. Rostock became shorthand for similar riots in Hoyerswerda in 1991 and for the deadly arson attacks in Solingen and Mölln in 1992 and 1993.
‘We Need Courageous Citizens’
The president’s speech was the apex of a week of events, activities and discussions organized to mark the anniversary. And thousands turned out on Sunday for Gauck’s appearance, one of particular importance to the president. Gauck, after all, was born in Rostock and worked for many years as a pastor in a nearby town. Born during Nazi times, Gauck grew up in communist East Germany, getting to know two brands of totalitarianism in the process.
“Seldom in our recent history has an event made it so clear to me as the riots in Rostock that we need both: We need courageous citizens who don’t look away when our democratic and peaceful society is challenged,” Gauck went on. “But we especially need a state that is both willing and able to protect the dignity and lives of people.”
The president was speaking to the ineffectiveness of the police response two decades ago. But it was also a reference to recently revealed official failings relating to the National Socialist Underground (NSU), a trio of neo-Nazis who were able to murder 10 people between 2000 and 2007 — nine of immigrant descent and a policewoman — without being caught. Investigators failed to identify the killing spree as being racially motivated until late last year.
The German press on Monday likewise takes a look back to Rostock and examines Gauck’s speech.
The Schweriner Volkszeitung, a daily in the capital of the state of Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania where Rostock is located, writes:
“President Joachim Gauck, himself from Rostock and now an honorary citizen of the city, issued clear demands on Sunday. Democracy, he said, needs courageous citizens … and an effective state…. Well said, but now it must be implemented in every case and in every place. Forceful action against right-wing extremism demands courage, the willingness to intervene on the behalf of others instead of allowing oneself to be intimidated. In western Germany, nobody should act as though xenophobia or right-wing ideas are just a problem in former East Germany, the product of a mixture of a lack of experience with democracy during communist times combined with the disappointment of those whose lives did not dramatically improve following reunification.”
“Immigrant houses burned in the west too, in Mölln and Solingen, xenophobic ideas are also alive and well in the west too, as can be seen by the right-wing mobs that form there. The confrontation must take place across the entire country, particularly in the schools, so that right-wing hate does not take root in people’s heads.”
Left-leaning Berliner Zeitung writes:
“Gauck delivered an excellent speech. But it was only a speech. What else could it have been? It could, for example, have been an analysis — and attempt to come to terms with the present. A reference, for example, to the number of right-wing criminal acts in Germany — it was 34 per day in the first six months of this year — would have been welcome…. As would a few thoughts on how police — officially — do what they can to arrive at as few right-wing extremists and xenophobic crimes as possible.”
“Maybe it is clever of the president not to say everything that citizens already know. But Gauck surely knows that a flashy speech doesn’t just serve to educate, it can also blind people…. ‘We are strong. We know that, we are strong!’ he said. But merely knowing it won’t be enough.”
“Gauck’s speech in Rostock was, at its core, a call for realism. A society that has no fear of that which is foreign is an illusion. The cohabitation of people from different backgrounds and cultures is hardly possible without conflict. As a result, an immigration country such as Germany must reach agreement on the ‘amount and conditions of immigration,’ as Gauck noted, in order to create the conditions for cohabitation within which conflicts are resolved with mutual respect.
The left-leaning Die Tageszeitung writes:
“Gauck’s speech leaves a bitter aftertaste. The president didn’t say a word about the failure of state security officials in other right-wing crimes, like those of the National Socialist Underground, which involved 10 unresolved killings, one of them in Rostock. Gauck avoided drawing concrete connections to the present. His plea to ‘not let grass grow’ over the events doesn’t change that. As such, the commemoration in Rostock-Lichtenhagen became a history lesson, far away from the racism that is prevalent in the year 2012.” – Spiegel Online
Deputy President Motlanthe’s call for black business to become more “cost-competitive” in tendering for state business is another noble-sounding ideal denied by reality.
South Africa is so committed to race preference that there is no turning back. It is inscribed in the Constitution and in the minds of almost everyone. BEE, which nowadays gets referred to as Black Elite Enrichment, is a political principle and not an economic one.
The mythology of “apartheid” being a Nazi-like system which “killed millions of people” (this was stated to me by a Wits academic) and withheld education from black people has created the “debt” which must be discharged through hand-outs to the black elite, masquerading as “business”.
Big Business in South Africa has always meddled in politics and has taken a kind of decadent pleasure in kow-towing to a radical government. Some sucker will always pay for BEE and affirmative action, whether it will be pension funds, the middle-class taxpayer or the poor simply getting poorer. We have been infected with American ideas dreamt up to pamper a smaller number of blacks in an economy forty times bigger than ours.
US-style “minority procurement” or BEE is as ill-suited to us as Pik Botha’s anecdote of a snow plough sold to a former homeland government for its airport. “Every airport must have a snow plough” was the sales pitch. Just like every black man must have a business and enjoy some form of preference to soothe his pride and dignity.
South Africa is already a failure as its education and health systems crumble and the numbers queuing up to be “empowered” from the state’s coffers swell. But this is all part of the master plan; a sovereign state at the southern tip of Africa did not suit the major powers.
Many abroad will applaud South Africa’s eventual descent into Zimbabwean bankruptcy and squalor, with gleeful Schadenfreude. It is our fate, which was decided in 1994 and even before.
South Africa is a weak state, if not a failed one. The previous Afrikaner state had some strategic value as it could exert some influence over the sea routes and bother its adversaries. This weak or failed state has about as much strategic importance as Swaziland or Lesotho.
No-one could care less about whether Zuma or Malema governs us, or whether the state pays R7 or R27 for a bottle of water.
To most people outside South Africa in developed countries, our life here must seem bizarre. After all, nowhere in Europe or the United States would you drive your children to school and see that the country’s largest newspaper, the Daily Sun, has got “Terror of the gay Tokoloshe” as its frontpage story for the day.
Probably you do not even know what a Tokoloshe is. Ever since I was a child I was intrigued to see that most black people in South Africa, especially women, place their beds on bricks. Apparently if one’s bed is high enough, the Tokoloshe cannot reach you while you are sleeping. So from my earliest years as I became aware of the peculiar differences between blacks and whites, I was brought under the impression that the Tokoloshe played an important role in the lives of blacks.
More black people in South Africa use so-called “traditional medicine” than the Western kind. The government has even institutionalised witchdoctors which are now called “traditional healers” or simply “healers”. At one point I read somewhere that one might also claim from health insurance for visiting a healer who will give you a concoction called “muti” that might contain all kinds of bizarre ingredients. In the northern parts of the country, there is even traffic in human body parts for making “strong muti”.
Being Africans of a slightly different kind, we Afrikaners jocularly refer to the more regular Eurocentric medicine that we take as “muti” too, especially to children. “Come on, drink your muti,” one would tell one’s son or daughter, referring to cough mixture or a tablet made by some branded pharmaceutical company.
Sometimes we Afrikaners call our children “Tokolos” as a term of endearment. Otherwise, we often joke about the Tokoloshe, saying things like: “The Tokoloshe is going to catch you.” But of course, unlike black Africans, we lack any real belief in his existence. To us he is merely a mythological creature like Zeus or Spiderman.
Wikipedia has a few lines on the Tokoloshe, but it mostly omits his sexual proclivities. From what I remember, the Tokoloshe especially preys on single women as they are more likely to be amenable to his advances, especially in dreams. It is also through one’s dreams that the ancestors communicate to the living. Normally, witchdoctors or sangomas or nyangas as they are also called, are “called” by an ancestor to their profession.
I once heard a story of an African investment banker in Johannesburg being called to become a witchdoctor. He went missing for six weeks and arrived back at the bank with an animal bladder on his head. Afterwards there was some discussion as to whether he could discuss corporate finance with clients while wearing the bladder, which he was not allowed to take off.
The Daily Sun’s story has a charm of its own and is in a way politically correct. No doubt it will speak to people for whom gay rights are a burning issue as even the little African incubus may be gay, it seems. Considering that there is currently a whole hullabaloo in the United States about the Republican senatorial candidate’s petite phrase about “legitimate rape”, “the terror of the gay tokoloshe” brings a whole new dimension to discussions of rape.
According to the Daily Sun’s report, Mr. Isaac Malope (51) has already spent R200 000 (about $25 000) on muti to defend himself against a gay Tokoloshe who comes to rape him every night while he is asleep next to his wife Constance Mazibuko (43).
Isaac Malope told the Daily Sun’s reporter, Alex Nkosi: “Every night he comes between me and my wife and rapes me over and over. When he leaves, I no longer have energy for my wife and even if I try to get an erection, nothing happens.
The only time when I manage to get an erection is if I fast for seven days and ask God for it. But it only lasts for a day and then it is back to hell. I have been to many different sangomas but they have failed to solve the problem.”
Mr. Malope has even travelled from South Africa to Nigeria to consult a well-known prophet there, to no avail.
The couple are now asking the Daily Sun’s readers for help, giving the following number in Pretoria to dial: 012 424 6251.
In this article, The Wall Street Journal looks at the rise in black-on-black crime in the United States. Whereas the media focus on killings of blacks by other races, such as in the Trayvon Martin case, the reality is that most blacks are killed by other blacks.
Communities Struggle to Break a Grim Cycle of Killing
BATON ROUGE, La.—Police found Silas Gibbs Jr. early in the morning of March 3, slumped against the seat belt in a red Mustang, with blood streaming from his ears and mouth. He had been shot, allegedly by one of his closest friends.
Mr. Gibbs, 24 years old, is one of hundreds of young black men across the U.S. to die violently in the past six months. Their deaths are overshadowed by tragedies like the massacres at the Aurora, Colo., movie theater and the Sikh temple in Wisconsin, as well as the killing of 17-year-old Trayvon Martin in Sanford, Fla. The latter case prompted nationwide outcry in part because of its racial aspect: Mr. Martin’s killer is white and Hispanic, and Mr. Martin was black.
But Mr. Martin’s death is a racial aberration, according to data kept by the Justice Department and the Federal Bureau of Investigation. Law-enforcement officials nationwide are battling a far more widespread and intractable problem: the persistent killing of young black men by other young black men.
Brandon Thibodeaux for The Wall Street JournalHillar Moore, the district attorney for East Baton Rouge Parish, met with investigators at the scene of a homicide.
Homicide victims usually are killed by people of their own race and ethnicity. The pattern goes back at least a generation.
Bureau of Justice Statistics data show that from 1976 to 2005, white victims were killed by white defendants 86% of the time and black victims were killed by blacks 94% of the time.
Then there is the matter of who is dying. Although the U.S. murder rate has been dropping for years, an analysis of homicide data by The Wall Street Journal found that the number of black male victims increased more than 10%, to 5,942 in 2010 from 5,307 in 2000.
Overall, more than half the nation’s homicide victims are African-American, though blacks make up only 13% of the population. Of those black murder victims, 85% were men, mostly young men.
Despite the declining U.S. murder rate, killings remain stubbornly high in poor pockets of cities large and small. In some cases, the rate is rising sharply. That increase is draining resources from police, prosecutors, social workers and hospitals.
As of Friday, Philadelphia police had been called to 223 homicides, compared with 198 last year. Chicago has recorded 337 murders, compared with 263 in the year-earlier period, a 28% jump. Public outcry there escalated after June 27, when stray bullets fired by an alleged gang member killed 7-year-old Heaven Sutton in a poor area on the city’s West Side. Uproar over the little girl’s death led Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel to announce a gang crackdown in neighborhoods with high murder rates.
The increase isn’t uniform. In New York, 246 people this year have been murdered as of August 5, a 17% decline from a year earlier, police say.
Overwhelmingly, the victims are black men like Mr. Gibbs, who was shot in the back of the head in his car in Louisiana. Or Rahiem Bailey, 29, who was killed during an apparent robbery in Norfolk, Va. He died the evening of Feb. 26, an hour before Mr. Martin, the Florida teenager, was killed by George Zimmerman, a neighborhood watchman. Lecarlos Todd, a 19-year-old college student, was shot to death earlier that same day in Jackson, Tenn., one of numerous people hurt during a melee at a local night spot. Jackson police said he was an innocent bystander.
In each of these cases, the victims were African Americans younger than 30, and the people charged also were young black men.
Law-enforcement officers know the pattern, said Fraternal Order of Police vice president Frank Gale, during recent testimony before a subcommittee of the Senate Judiciary Committee. “As a black law-enforcement officer, I sure would like to see a serious approach to the epidemic levels of violence that exist in far too many of our black communities,” he said.
There is little national attention from policy makers. “I have not seen any federal legislation which would tackle the huge problem” of crime among black Americans, said Mr. Gale, a captain in the Denver County sheriff’s department. “I am not even sure what such a bill would look like,” he added.
Because black-on-black violence tends to stay concentrated within poorer, inner-city areas, there is a lack of wider awareness of the depth of the problem, said Jack Levin of the Brudnick Center on Violence and Conflict at Northeastern University in Boston. “Nobody in this room would even know the name Trayvon Martin if it had been a black kid who shot Trayvon Martin,” said Philadelphia Police Commissioner Charles Ramsey, an African American, speaking at a gun-violence research forum.
Beyond the race question, the case sparked a national debate over controversial “stand your ground” laws, such as Florida’s, which don’t require a person to retreat from a threat. It also raised questions about the role of neighborhood watchmen like Mr. Zimmerman, who faces second-degree murder charges and says he shot Mr. Martin in self-defense. Prosecutors say Mr. Zimmerman ignored a dispatcher’s instructions to not pursue Mr. Martin, precipitating the fatal encounter.
People who dismiss high homicide rates in poor, mostly black neighborhoods as someone else’s problem ignore the cost to society, from police efforts to social services for victims’ families, said Chuck Wexler of the Police Executive Research Forum, a Washington, D.C., think tank that conducts research on criminal justice initiatives. His group calculated the national cost for gun homicides alone in 2010 was more than $43 billion. That encompasses victim costs like lost productivity and medical care, as well as costs for police, prosecution, courts and prison. It also includes costs to the offender’s family.
A 2009 study by Iowa State analyzing other data estimated that a single murder runs up more than $17 million in costs to the police, courts, prisons, social services and to the families of victims and suspects.
“We can and must find a way to stop the killing,” New Orleans Mayor Mitch Landrieu said in May as he announced a new strategy there to combat homicides. It takes a “public health” approach, emphasizing prevention of murder through education, community policing and targeting possible offenders.
The effort, now under way, focuses on poor neighborhoods that are hot spots for violent crime. Some poor black neighborhoods in New Orleans are dominated by “a culture of death” that needs to be broken, Mr. Landrieu, who is white, has said.
It isn’t just major cities. Baton Rouge, La., with 230,000 people, Kalamazoo, Mich., 74,000, and other small metropolises have violent neighborhoods, some with rising numbers of murders, although the numbers are much smaller.
Baton Rouge has had at least 54 murders so far this year, according to police. By the end of August last year, 43 people had been murdered.
In Kalamazoo, police and community leaders have brought in an expert on inner-city violence because of concerns that one neighborhood has been generating most of the city’s murders in recent years. So far this year, four of Kalamazoo’s five murders took place in this one area.
“’Sometimes you can guess who is next by who was killed the night before.’” Hillar Moore, district attorney
“The last national data we have says it’s increasing and it’s been increasing fastest in medium-size and small cities,” said David Kennedy, a criminologist at John Jay College in New York.
Government numbers, while imperfect, show the homicide rate in cities of 1 million or more declining to 11.9 per 100,000 U.S. residents in 2008 from 35.5 in 1991, according to a report from the Bureau of Justice Statistics last year. But it appears to be rising in smaller cities: Separate FBI numbers indicate that homicides rose 4.3% in 2010 from the previous year in cities of 250,000 to 499,000 people.
Mr. Kennedy says one promising solution involves bringing in violence-prone people in specific neighborhoods to meet with law enforcement, clergy, relatives, residents and other government services. People who cooperate get employment and education help. If bad behavior continues, prosecutors push for maximum penalties.
Boston tried a version of this in 1996, and saw youth homicides drop precipitously. In one two-year period, no teenagers younger than 18 were killed. The program ended in 2000, in part because of its success. It restarted several years later when youth murders increased.
Critics say the Boston plan gets too much credit. They cite an overall decline in homicides nationwide during the period it was in operation.
In the area where Mr. Gibbs died in Baton Rouge, a variation of this kind of intense anti-violence effort is being tested. Known as the Baton Rouge Area Violence Elimination Project, it focuses on a three-mile-square economically depressed area considered the epicenter for violent crime in the city. About 160 young men have been identified and are being brought in to talk to police and other officials.
Northeast of the Louisiana state capitol, fast-food restaurants, bail-bondsman offices and rundown homes abound. The area holds 13% of the city’s population but accounts for 30% of homicides, according to the District Attorney’s Office. From 2007 to 2011, police reported 11,256 people were victims of firearm crimes in the area, more than 90% of them African-American.
Hillar Moore, the district attorney for East Baton Rouge Parish, says authorities must try new methods to break the pattern. Mr. Moore tries to go to every homicide scene, he says, and finds that the “vast majority” of the killings “will be over nonsense.”
At 3 a.m. just this Friday, Mr. Moore was out again, this time at the scene of the shooting death of 18-year-old Ty O’Brian Porter. Police don’t have a suspect but say they believe the shooting resulted from a neighborhood dispute.
Retaliation is a recurring theme in the homicides he investigates, Mr. Moore said, which perpetuates the cycle of killing. “Sometimes you can guess who is next by who was killed the night before,” he said.
But because people often are reluctant to cooperate with an investigation, the next killing can be tough to prevent. “They know they’re next, and yet still they do not want police intervention,” he said.
Silas Gibbs
Silas Gibbs was murdered in early March. He was allegedly shot by a friend.
It was quick-trigger violence that ended the life of Silas Gibbs, once an aspiring football running back, in the early morning hours of a rainy Saturday in March. Mr. Gibbs grew up in the small town of Clinton, about an hour’s drive northeast of Baton Rouge, and is remembered as “quiet and respectful,” said Clinton police Chief Eddie Stewart. He was the kind of young man who would go unnoticed, “until Friday nights. Under the lights on the football field, playing for Clinton, that’s when you noticed him. He came alive.”
He headed to Southern University in Baton Rouge in 2007 to play football. But things started to fall apart. Because of poor grades, he remained academically ineligible to play ball for most of his time at the school.
When his father was diagnosed with prostate cancer, he started traveling back and forth to Clinton to care for him, his mother said. At the same time, Mr. Gibbs had a daughter, born in 2008, and sought ways to support her.
He pleaded guilty to a misdemeanor conviction for intent to distribute marijuana in 2008 following a traffic stop, when a Drug Enforcement Administration agent found Mr. Gibbs in possession of 23 bags of marijuana and $900 in cash. When the DEA agent who stopped him asked why he was involved, Mr. Gibbs answered he had a small child to support, according to court records.
Mr. Gibbs received probation for a year. The judge set aside the conviction in 2011 after Mr. Gibbs had no further legal problems.
Mr. Gibbs dropped out of Southern. He hauled scrap in the absence of full-time work. His father, the man who had guided him to football and helped him find odd jobs, was dead from cancer. He had a second daughter and helped raise a young nephew whose mother had died in a car wreck.
Toya Williams, Mr. Gibb’s live-in girlfriend and mother of his second daughter, described in an interview the night he died. The two had argued, by text message, as Mr. Gibbs spent the evening with friends while she stayed with her daughter in the mobile home they shared. She went to bed.
When she awoke in the morning, she noticed two missed calls on her cellphone from 1:20 a.m. They were both from Mr. Gibbs’s phone. She called back. “It just kept ringing and ringing,” she said.
Hours earlier, at 2:45 a.m., police received a call of an abandoned car on the highway. An officer found Mr. Gibbs in the car with the stereo blaring. At first, the officer thought Mr. Gibbs was sleeping, but then he saw the blood.
He summoned an ambulance, followed soon by a homicide team. The detectives began canvassing relatives and friends in the early morning for possible leads.
Ms. Williams caught a ride to her job at Wal-Mart, where she works in maintenance. She first learned of Mr. Gibbs’s death around 8 a.m., when a neighbor phoned with the news. His sister texted the message next. Then a Baton Rouge police detective called. Only when Mr. Gibbs’s mother, Rosie Triplett, phoned to talk about his funeral, Ms. Williams said, did she accept that he was dead.
Her life, already a financial struggle, is now more difficult. Among other things, she must now hire baby sitters when she is at work. Previously, Mr. Gibbs provided child care.
Witnesses to the killing told Baton Rouge police that Walter Fort, 22, a longtime friend of Mr. Gibbs and his former dorm-mate in college, shot him from the back seat of the car. Prosecutors say Mr. Fort pulled the gun during a heated argument, and haven’t said what caused the dispute.
Mr. Gibbs’s family say they believe Mr. Fort had been jealous of Mr. Gibbs’s popularity and athletic success, but they are struggling to understand the rationale for the alleged shooting. “Nobody’s giving us a motive,” said his mother, Ms. Triplett. “I just want…I just want to know why he did it. For what reason? Is it a hate thing or a jealous thing?”
Mr. Fort had no previous criminal record aside from a 2008 rape charge that was dropped when the alleged victim declined to cooperate.
Mr. Fort fled Baton Rouge and was arrested at Texas Southern University in Houston. He is currently being held in the parish jail in Baton Rouge, without bond, as he awaits trial on charges of second-degree murder and illegal use of firearms. Prosecutors are now preparing their case. Barry Milligan, Mr. Fort’s public defender, declined to comment.
Mr. Gibbs is buried beside his father and his sister at Mount Carmel Cemetery in Clinton, La. The family is trying to pull together the funds to buy a headstone.
Mr. Gibbs’s younger sister, Lakitia Triplett, was pregnant at the time her brother died. She lives with her mother, a few blocks east from where her brother’s body was found, in Baton Rouge’s most dangerous neighborhood. Earlier this year she described her anxieties over the future prospects of her then-unborn child. “I have to be worried, you have to,” she said. “People killing people every day over just nonsense.”
A few weeks ago, Ms. Triplett gave birth to a son. She named him Silas.
Cadet pilot training course applications from white men are no longer being accepted by the SA Airways (SAA), it was reported on Friday.
SAA spokesman Kabelo Ledwaba told Beeld that the cadet programme was being advertised online as an initiative to bring pilot demographics in line with the country’s broader demographics.
“Only 15 percent of SAA’s pilots are currently black, and this includes Indians and coloureds. The rest are white, and 91 percent of them are men.”
Ledwaba said the airline would appoint male, white pilots when there were vacant posts for which applicants of other races could not be found.
Beeld had asked why white applicants were being rejected across the board.
An irate father had called the newspaper to complain that his son, who had a commercial pilot’s licence and met the educational and physical criteria, had been rejected on the grounds of race.
By filling out several dummy applications, Beeld established that the online form had been programmed to reject any white applicants. – Sapa
WASHINGTON (AP) — To keep pace with rapidly changing notions of race, the Census Bureau wants to make broad changes to its surveys that would treat “Hispanic” as a distinct category regardless of race, end use of the term “Negro” and offer new ways to identify Middle Easterners.
The recommendations released Wednesday stem from new government research on the best ways to count the nation’s demographic groups. Still it could face stiff resistance from some racial and ethnic groups who worry that any kind of wording change in the high-stakes government count could yield a lower tally for them.
“This is a hot-button issue,” said Angelo Falcon, president of the National Institute for Latino Policy in New York City and a community adviser to the census. “The burden will be on the Census Bureau to come up with evidence that wording changes will not undermine the Latino numbers.”
Arab-Americans said they strongly support the Census Bureau’s efforts. “The Census Bureau’s current method for determining Arab ancestry yields a significant undercount of the actual size of the community, and we’re optimistic that the new form should be significantly better at capturing ancestry data,” the Arab American Institute said in a statement.
The research is based on an experiment conducted during the 2010 census in which nearly 500,000 households were given forms with the race and ethnicity questions worded differently. The findings show that many people who filled out the traditional form did not feel they fit within the five government-defined categories of race: white, black, Asian, Pacific Islander and American Indian/Alaska Native; when questions were altered to address this concern, response rates and accuracy improved notably.
For instance, because Hispanic is currently defined as an ethnicity and not a race, some 18 million Latinos — or roughly 37 percent — used the “some other race” category on their census forms to establish a Hispanic racial identity. Under one proposed change to the census forms, a new question would simply ask a person’s race or origin, allowing them to check a single box next to choices including black, white, or Hispanic.
The other changes would drop use of “Negro,” leaving a choice of “black” or African-American, as well as add write-in categories that would allow Middle Easterners and Arabs to specifically identify themselves.
Census director Robert Groves, who leaves his position Friday to become provost at Georgetown University, described the research findings as an important first step toward making changes in future censuses.
“As new immigrant groups came to this country decade after decade, how we measure ethnicity changed to reflect the changing composition of the country,” Groves said. “Since that change is never ending and America gets more and more diverse, how we understand and tabulate the information has to be continually open to change.”
“It’s critical that race and ethnicity reflect how people identify themselves,” he said.
The issue isn’t just semantic. Some African-Americans in 2010, for instance, criticized a question asking if a person was “black, African- American or Negro,” saying the government’s continued use of the term “Negro” was demeaning and offensive.
“We believe the proposed changes are consistent with the way most people do choose to self-identify and will enable census to more accurately capture the growing racial/ethnic diversity in the U.S.,” the National Urban League said Wednesday in a statement.
The wording in census surveys can also be highly political: census data are used to distribute more than $400 billion in federal aid and draw political districts and thus can elicit concern if a change were to yield a lower response.
While individual Hispanics have expressed dissatisfaction with census forms that don’t count Latino as a race, Latino political groups have been reticent about pushing for a change. The main reason: Past research has sometimes shown that treating Latinos as a mutually exclusive group on survey forms leads to a lower Hispanic count.
“Why would Latinos want to give up their own question on the census form that specifically asks if they are of Hispanic, Latino or Spanish origin?” asks Falcon of the National Institute for Latino Policy. He notes that the current wording, which first asks people if they are of Latino origin and then prompts them to fill in their race, fostered a strong count in 2010 that yielded a new census milestone for Latinos of 50 million, or 1 in 6 Americans.
Nicholas Jones, chief of the racial statistics branch at the Census Bureau, said the government’s more recent research found that Latino response rates were similar under both the current and the new proposed format. Across all race and ethnic groups, the nonresponse rates dropped notably to 1 percent under the proposed change, compared with nonresponse rates of roughly 4 to 5 percent with the traditional form.
Jones said the research identified ways to improve responses that will be used to discuss any survey changes with members of the Latino, black, Asian and other communities leading up to the 2020 census.
The government definitions of race groups are set by the White House Office of Management and Budget. Currently, Hispanics are an ethnic group, which means although they share a common language, culture and heritage, they do not share a common race. They can be black, white, Asian, American Indian or descended from original peoples of a place colonized by Spain.
Changes to questions on census forms also must be approved by Congress.
Other research findings:
—Removing the term “Negro” from the census form did not hurt the response rates of African-Americans. While some people in 2000 indicated that the term still had relevance to them, this number has steadily declined since then.
—Under the proposed changes, the number of people who reported multiple races increased significantly. The multiracial population is currently one of the nation’s fastest growing demographic groups.
—When provided write-in lines, as much as 50 percent of people who checked their race as “white” wrote in an ethnicity such as Italian, Polish, Arab, Iranian or Middle Eastern. More than 76 percent of black respondents also wrote in an ethnicity, such as Jamaican, Haitian or Ethiopian.
—Based on focus groups, many people supported creating a separate racial category for those who identify as Middle Eastern or North African.
Many demographers predict a wider range of responses on census forms and blurring of racial categories over the next 50 years as the minority population grows and interracial marriage becomes more common. In the case of Hispanics, the nation’s largest minority group, the label as an ethnicity to date has created particular confusion.
For instance, the Census Bureau describes Asian-Americans as the nation’s fastest-growing race group from 2000 to 2010; their rate of growth is actually equal to that of Hispanics, an ethnic group. On the other hand, Hispanics are typically treated as a race for purposes of counting “interracial” marriages in the U.S.
Terry Minnis, director of census and voting programs at the Asian American Justice Center, said more tests are needed to ensure that Asian-Americans are fully counted under a new question format. Recent tests by the Census Bureau show some decreases in responses when there were fewer check boxes available for the various Asian-American groups, which include among others Asian Indian, Chinese, Japanese, Filipino and Vietnamese.
“As the Census Bureau looks to develop new strategies that maximize measurement and reporting on race and ethnicity, it must ensure that nothing compromises the quality and detail of data on Asian Americans,” Minnis said.
Firstly, blaming HF Verwoerd for the textbook mess is nonsensical at best and for your newspaper to portray Verwoerd as the “architect of apartheid” is a false representation.
Those who perpetuate this lie may well be referred to a book by David Walsh called The Roots of Segregation – Native Policy in Natal (1845-1910), published in 1971.
The foreword says: “(Lord) Shepstone’s policy was the precursor of the later policy of segregation, which in turn has been called apartheid, separate development and separate freedoms.”
Walsh in his conclusion writes: “It is a myth that apartheid is the exclusive product of Afrikaner nationalism: it’s antecedents are to be found in Natal.”
When the National Party came to power in 1948 it inherited a disorderly schooling system for blacks that was run mainly by Anglican and Catholic churches.
The 1951 Eiselen report on black education revealed shocking facts. Admission to school was subject to baptism. Parental participation was non-existent. Most black children had never been to school. Illiteracy was rife.
No indigenous language was tolerated and English was the sole medium of instruction for education.
Part of subsidised teachers’ salaries landed in church coffers. Some priests and nuns got a pittance.
In Taung, as was the practice elsewhere, the community built the church which doubled up as one massive classroom for 500 scholars.
In and around Mafeking 25 000 scholars had 56 classrooms between them.
Verwoerd changed all this with an orderly system, pumping millions of pounds into black education, plus the £2 million representing the total tax contribution by blacks.
Additionally, a special levy was placed on urban property taxes to build schools and alleviate the backlog in black education, and so on and so forth.
Yet President Jacob Zuma, who believed in liberation before education, accuses Verwoerd of putting black people “back for centuries”.
One cannot but wonder who put the rest of Africa back for centuries?
As for the pretext of Afrikaans being the cause of the 1976 school uprising, think again.
The two schools that were in the forefront of the Soweto riots did not receive tutoring in Afrikaans in any subject.
Also, an advisory board’s polling of all black schools’ governing bodies revealed that 64% approved of Afrikaans and English as mediums of education.
Zuma’s promotion of the “second revolution”, where scholars such as Hector Pieterson will undoubtedly be used again as pawns in a communist game, will indeed put South Africa back for centuries.
Switzerland’s Michel Morganella is being investigated for sending an allegedly racist message on Twitter after their defeat in the men’s Olympic football by South Korea, a Swiss team official said on Monday.
“We are investigating this case and we will hold a news conference at 5pm today,” said Christof Kaufmann.
The alleged tweet has since been deleted from the player’s account but pictures of it appeared in the Swiss media. The 23-year-old Swiss international, who plays for Palermo, could face expulsion from the Games. He has played the full 90 minutes in both of Switzerland’s matches and was booked against South Korea.
Last week the Greek triple jumper Paraskevi Papachristou was thrown off the Olympic team following a racist comment on her account regarding Africans living in Greece. – Reuters
Iafrica.com reports that SACP general secretary Blade Nzimande lashed out at FW de Klerk on Thursday, branding the former president an “apartheid political dinosaur”.
On Wednesday, De Klerk spoke at a briefing discussing the outcomes of the ANC’s policy conference. De Klerk said the spirit of inclusiveness and reconciliation embodied by former president Nelson Mandela was no longer prevalent in the country.
He warned against the ruling party’s national democratic revolution.
“The NDR as a concept is dangerous. A revolution against who? Who is the enemy?”
De Klerk added that the SACP was one of the driving forces behind what he called radical ANC policies.
Nzimande has since hit back, calling De Klerk “a politician who has long reached his sell-by date”.
“All what De Klerk is saying about the SACP is nothing but an attempt at resuscitating the classical, but failed, apartheid ‘rooi gevaar’ tactic which was used by his now extinct National Party and its criminal apartheid regime not only to persecute communists but as part of the whole armoury to fight against the liberation movement,” Nzimande said.
“De Klerk’s latest anti-communist burst is nothing more than rehashing this nonsense, and in fact exposing that the likes of him no longer have any relevance in today’s South Africa, if they ever did at all. Not so long ago he let the cat out of the bag by clearly stating he still firmly believes that the bantustan policies were the correct ones for South Africa.”
Praag.org previously reported that in his concluding remarks on Wedenesday, “De Klerk urged South Africans to be active and engage the ruling party on its policies, because they would shape the country’s future”.
A black South African columnist has just published the following article in the London Guardian, blaming whites for blacks’ continuing poverty under a black government.
FW de Klerk: defender of the white man
South Africa is trying to move on from apartheid. It’s a shame its former president is not
by Justice Malala
The last undemocratically elected president of South Africa, the Nobel Peace laureate FW de Klerk, has in recent months been holding forth on the state of the nation. It’s a familiar view: that South Africa is becoming yet another post-colonial country destined to fall into maladministration, corruption, famine and finally war because the white man has lost political power.
In his utterances, it seems, the only thing that can save the nation from this preordained state of affairs is continued protection of white minority privileges and rights. All attempts to discuss a South Africa that is not riven by the terrible inequalities wrought by apartheid are seen, by him, as a threat to these privileges.
We heard elements of this narrative again this week. “The Mandela and Mbeki era of reconciliation is over,” de Klerk warned darkly. “White males are quite unjustly blamed for the continuing triple crisis of unemployment, inequality and poverty.”
He did not ask South Africans to come together and find solutions to these problems. Instead, he asked them to “get [on to the] playing field and become politically active”. The message is clear: they must fight and stop the ruling ANC’s talk of speeding up measures to stem unemployment and poverty.
These utterances come in the wake of De Klerk’s interview on CNN in May when he claimed that black people under apartheid “were not disenfranchised, they voted”. In this he was defending the heinous homeland system, under which Africans were “cleaned out” from “white South Africa” and confined to impoverished “black reserves”.
It increasingly seems that De Klerk cannot change from the person an angry Nelson Mandela identified during the democracy negotiations in 1991: “His weakness is to look at matters from the point of view of the National party and the white minority in this country, not from the point of view of the population of South Africa.”
Though De Klerk chooses to appoint himself defender of the country’s white males, they need very little defending. Almost all of the 20 best-paid directors in Johannesburg Stock Exchange-listed companies are white men. This is not to vilify them, but it is a reminder that all of us South Africans need to do something, urgently, about inequality and poverty. After all, just this week the World Bank said South Africa is one of the most unequal countries in the world, with the top 10% of the population accounting for 58% of its income and the bottom half less than 8%. “Circumstances at birth are important drivers of inequality in South Africa,” said the bank’s report.
South Africa faces massive problems of unemployment and poverty. The ruling ANC has spectacularly failed the poor after 18 years in power. Under President Zuma things are getting worse: the challenges of poverty, unemployment and inequality need a new vision and new leaders. But the De Klerk soundtrack, that South Africa is on the verge of collapse because the white man is allegedly under threat, is tiring and depressing. It does nothing to solve these urgent and collective problems.
De Klerk still believes he is the leader of a threatened white minority. He should learn to think of not just the white males whose survival he so energetically claims to defend, but also of the poor and marginalised who every day stand on our street corners and beg for alms.
That is the complex narrative of a country that has defied stereotypes and had three democratically elected presidents in 18 years; which has avoided racial conflagration; which has given more electricity to more people in the shortest space of time than any other in the world. It is not the narrative of a country whose sole obsession is the survival of a white minority’s privileges.
Cape Town – A fight sparked by a racist remarks preceded the death of a Cape Town man in a prison cell, the Bellville District Court heard on Monday.
This was the testimony of a prisoner accused of the murder of airport freight clerk Eben Meyer, 47, in a cell at the Durbanville police station. He was arrested for drunk and disorderly behaviour on April
20 this year.
His body was found the next morning.
Daniel Dyosi, 40, and Sipho Mhlanga, 29, who have been charged with the murder, applied for bail before magistrate Jannie Kotze on Monday.
Mhlanga told the court a fight started in the cell after Meyer made racist remarks.
Mhlanga said he and the others were all asleep when Meyer arrived.
“Meyer, in his drunken state, immediately became abusive towards Dyosi, saying that kaffirs were not allowed to sleep in the same room as white people.”
Mhlanga said he awoke from the commotion, as Meyer started assaulting Dyosi.
“When the deceased realised I was awake, he started beating me up as well. We allowed him to assault us for about 30 minutes, before we got tired of it and fought back,” Mhlanga said.
After they started fighting back, Meyer ceased the assault and apologised. According to Mhlanga, they gave Meyer a blanket, and around 1.30am they heard Meyer had died.
Mhlanga insisted on explaining to the court what happened that night, despite warnings that he had the right to remain silent, and that whatever he said would be used against him at his trial.
The investigating officer, Constable Bongani Lali, told the court Meyer was locked in a cell with seven other men who had also been arrested for being drunk in public.
Both Dyosi and Mhlanga were required to satisfy the court that substantial and compelling circumstances render their release on bail in the interests of justice.
The men were expected back in court on August 1 for the bail hearing to continue. – Sapa
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